Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7be246be9718fa668d8d86e3d091240c3eab5f3974cd997e42a918df503a9e96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Fils, Lehecka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lehecka | 66c | 1,873$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.86 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…bfbbbacked Fils | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…569fbacked Lehecka | 66c | 893.94$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Fils | 34c | 795.62$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.22 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Fils | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Lehecka | 61c | 610.93$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.26 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Fils | 34c | 578.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 388 | 31.4%122 W · 266 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Fils | 38c | 578.6$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,110 | 43%477 W · 633 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lehecka | 61c | 498.29$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.82 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Fils | 14c | 414.56$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.21 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lehecka | 75c | 387.73$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.65 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Fils | 39c | 256.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Lehecka | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Lehecka | 66c | 228.08$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Lehecka | 63c | 182.54$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Fils | 11c | 160.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lehecka | 61c | 160.54$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Lehecka | 63c | 158.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 135 | 63%85 W · 50 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…05e2backed Lehecka | 66c | 152.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 196 | 49%96 W · 100 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Fils | 41c | 145.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Lehecka | 67c | 142.54$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fils | 35c | 129.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Lehecka | 64c | 111.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.21 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Lehecka | 64c | 109.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.38 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…60cebacked Fils | 38c | 103.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Fils | 37c | 90.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.48 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcc…45f6backed Fils | 39c | 83.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -10.4wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Fils | 18c | 76.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Fils | 37c | 68.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed67…7122backed Lehecka | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…14bcbacked Fils | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Fils | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 894 | 35.9%321 W · 573 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Fils | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Lehecka | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Lehecka | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +34.2wins | +0.20per pick | 43cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Lehecka | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Lehecka | 58c | 38.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…ee3abacked Fils | 39c | 35.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Lehecka | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…3942backed Lehecka | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Lehecka | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)this page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur FilsJiri Lehecka won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs FilsLehecka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.