Tennis · resolved market
Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd4d37df18b1c90c76051f8bd2834fac6af0faa4a830c5043514d71147ecf5dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Over | 59c | 1,723$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.41 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 41c | 1,341$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 42c | 559.48$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.5 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Over | 59c | 492.08$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.88 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 475$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.4 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 17c | 393.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 58c | 341.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 41c | 336.83$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.73 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 56c | 249.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.74 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 234.8$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 39c | 203.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.39 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Over | 56c | 190$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…9433backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Under | 44c | 78.36$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Over | 59c | 76.8$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.95 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 39c | 49.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dd…2297backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 66c | 38.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 40c | 38.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d84…7b78backed Over | 60c | 38.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1619…ca7bbacked Over | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur FilsJiri Lehecka won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs FilsLehecka won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Lehecka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.