Tennis · resolved market
Jiri Lehecka vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x188a878bc8f4d852f26a2a28b8aae235b60a42b286ea4339434490665ab56767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x336b…1233backed Over 2.5 | 47c | 3,201$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.29 | 579 | 39.7%230 W · 349 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under 2.5 | 53c | 2,988$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,404.48 | 595 | 53.8%320 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 1,011$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.97 | 388 | 31.4%122 W · 266 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 721.14$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 2.5 | 59c | 697.64$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.26 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 602.33$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over 2.5 | 47c | 422.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,563 | 40%625 W · 938 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 57c | 421.46$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.23 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 379.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.59 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf0…8a9abacked Under 2.5 | 52c | 375$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 351.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 176 | 59.1%104 W · 72 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over 2.5 | 50c | 348.34$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.75 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Under 2.5 | 58c | 343.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.71 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Over 2.5 | 41c | 331.28$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.82 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under 2.5 | 50c | 251.41$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.71 | 664 | 44.6%296 W · 368 L | +29.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Over 2.5 | 49c | 250.23$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 232.1$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 651 | 49.2%320 W · 331 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 223.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 299 | 48.5%145 W · 154 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af1…f988backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over 2.5 | 51c | 194.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 177$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.11 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 176.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Over 2.5 | 29c | 172.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Over 2.5 | 59c | 168.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Over 2.5 | 49c | 164.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 146.52$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 129.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.61 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under 2.5 | 55c | 118.81$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over 2.5 | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2287…3054backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 109.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…d1fdbacked Over 2.5 | 46c | 108.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over 2.5 | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 304 | 52%158 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c5…787cbacked Under 2.5 | 54c | 96.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 93.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 824 | 60.6%499 W · 325 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over 2.5 | 22c | 78.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 2.5 | 53c | 77.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over 2.5 | 32c | 71.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…91fdbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Under 2.5 | 52c | 66.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 62.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…4e8dbacked Over 2.5 | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d2…2be9backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 44.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed Over 2.5 | 45c | 43.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 43.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Under 2.5 | 57c | 43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under 2.5 | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Under 2.5 | 55c | 39.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…4761backed Over 2.5 | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Over 2.5 | 44c | 36.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under 2.5 | 57c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over 2.5 | 42c | 31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 599 | 41.1%246 W · 353 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Under 2.5 | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Under 2.5 | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur FilsJiri Lehecka won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs FilsLehecka won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Lehecka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.