Tennis · resolved market
Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf39ede32be69c6163af03da0f9e5c80e66b78ce8747be235c3485453ab1f0f29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 52c | 4,240$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 576 | 49.5%285 W · 291 L | -32.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,430$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.08 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 1,339$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.12 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Over | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.56 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 750.59$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.8 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 45c | 750$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 692 | 44.4%307 W · 385 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 38c | 702.53$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.57 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 595$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.34 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Over | 51c | 566.86$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 489 | 35.8%175 W · 314 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Over | 51c | 525$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 404 | 44.1%178 W · 226 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 51c | 482.02$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.19 | 389 | 31.4%122 W · 267 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Under | 47c | 400$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Under | 52c | 288.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.43 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…8427backed Under | 38c | 204.87$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.02 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…4568backed Over | 50c | 200.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 157.87$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.61 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…3b00backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 50c | 79.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 60c | 66.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Over | 50c | 60.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 53c | 43.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 51c | 42.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 50c | 42.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Over | 49c | 38.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Under | 49c | 30.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 42c | 27.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +51%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5this page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur FilsJiri Lehecka won
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs FilsLehecka won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Lehecka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.