Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Fils
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c65d17255140d901facdb723e62850481e622377af37d1b36dc9fd3be0c2250
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leheckaof Lehecka, Fils
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lehecka | 42c | 792.05$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.38 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Lehecka | 50c | 604.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.13 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lehecka | 67c | 462.91$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.6 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Fils | 57c | 402.63$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.8 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5f…6cecbacked Fils | 58c | 382.41$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.8 | 277 | 49.8%138 W · 139 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba3…89cabacked Fils | 27c | 309.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fils | 29c | 291.76$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.39 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fils | 30c | 250.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Fils | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Fils | 58c | 173.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Fils | 29c | 115$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Fils | 20c | 100.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Fils | 17c | 84.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Fils | 18c | 83.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…ef2abacked Fils | 27c | 74.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd141…205cbacked Fils | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Lehecka | 41c | 44.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Lehecka | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Lehecka | 79c | 32.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed Fils | 47c | 31.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lehecka | 43c | 29.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Fils | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…5c8bbacked Fils | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Lehecka vs Filsthis page
- Jiri Lehecka vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Lehecka vs. Fils: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur FilsJiri Lehecka won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Lehecka (+1.5)Lehecka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.