Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa70c3b2b9129b19ccb09476f0146c0b4d41b26220196eda797d263af74946f5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5500…b4f6backed Yes | 43c | 2,869$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.99 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.63 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 69c | 993.72$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.05 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…523fbacked Yes | 66c | 949.14$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 51c | 815.04$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.66 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 54c | 801.8$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.7 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…a235backed Yes | 52c | 778.81$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.65 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe41…9f23backed No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 58c | 482$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.56 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 51c | 438$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.41 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 6c | 415.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 621 | 9.8%61 W · 560 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 53c | 361.48$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.28 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…c8f9backed Yes | 69c | 360.63$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.07 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 67c | 308$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.96 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.62 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 29c | 291.51$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 51c | 290.97$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.36 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 41c | 257.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 250.45$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed Yes | 44c | 193.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…547dbacked Yes | 55c | 183$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 58c | 180$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 39c | 172.3$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.8 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 33c | 158.61$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 41c | 155.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 44c | 147.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 15c | 124.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 60c | 123.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 48c | 119.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edc…80d8backed Yes | 52c | 116.18$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 1,179 | 56.4%665 W · 514 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 114.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcff7…2fb1backed No | 48c | 112.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 214 | 51.9%111 W · 103 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…dc2ebacked No | 40c | 105.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 284 | 41.5%118 W · 166 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf73b…10bfbacked Yes | 38c | 105.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 283 | 44.5%126 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 76c | 102.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d964backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 47c | 93.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 41c | 90.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 41c | 90.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 51c | 80.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 1,991 | 52.3%1,042 W · 949 L | -76.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 54c | 79.81$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.46 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 61c | 79.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed No | 24c | 77.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 41c | 70.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 57c | 69.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd115…4906backed Yes | 78c | 68.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 135 | 88.1%119 W · 16 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 46c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 44c | 60.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe229…ea0fbacked No | 42c | 59.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 32c | 59.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bd…9441backed No | 43c | 54.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…e66dbacked Yes | 62c | 53.28$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -6.8wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…5e72backed No | 40c | 51.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…c224backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…56b7backed No | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…b352backed No | 30c | 48.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 1,857 | 18.7%347 W · 1,510 L | +77.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Yes | 57c | 47.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 41c | 44.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 80c | 44.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…fdbcbacked No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 533 | 53.1%283 W · 250 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 31c | 36.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a6…9e63backed Yes | 37c | 36.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 332 | 32.8%109 W · 223 L | +18.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55bc…52d8backed Yes | 49c | 36.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 42c | 35.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 51c | 34.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd404…4e3bbacked Yes | 63c | 31.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 43c | 31.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed Yes | 64c | 31.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 38c | 30.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 36c | 30.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 37c | 30.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…5d00backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…8110backed No | 51c | 29.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 50c | 28.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 49c | 28.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 43c | 27.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…a5fbbacked Yes | 70c | 25.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 42c | 25.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 50c | 25.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…fde7backed No | 46c | 23.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 56c | 22.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 50c | 20.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…f836backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 286 | 49.3%141 W · 145 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Yes | 64c | 18.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952d…ab8abacked Yes | 69c | 18.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.