World Politics · resolved market
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x955ae81e512c67b768fd65d070d0bae4218b73f313feccca6d01cdc10260c6b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $163,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 19c | 18,229$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,448.62 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ea…357ebacked Yes | 56c | 8,641$4,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,853.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 50c | 7,672$3,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,844.51 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…48aebacked Yes | 20c | 6,233$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Yes | 20c | 5,961$1,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.78 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…63d2backed Yes | 35c | 5,283$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked Yes | 37c | 4,810$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 20c | 4,770$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.77 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 23c | 4,239$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.47 | 53 | 13.2%7 W · 46 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 51c | 3,307$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.68 | 227 | 25.1%57 W · 170 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 10c | 3,214$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.79 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7664…2e50backed No | 74c | 3,173$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.36 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 53c | 2,347$1,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes | 34c | 2,157$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.29 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 73c | 2,087$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6996…cf9abacked Yes | 1c | 2,022$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 13c | 1,974$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.17 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 35c | 1,971$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.9 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5294…d176backed Yes | 18c | 1,787$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.28 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb420…3d77backed Yes | 29c | 1,673$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…9bf5backed Yes | 19c | 1,550$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 253 | 37.2%94 W · 159 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…f053backed Yes | 19c | 1,468$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 23c | 1,399$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.17 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a76…53debacked Yes | 38c | 1,313$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 38c | 1,215$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…5571backed Yes | 18c | 1,080$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…6deabacked Yes | 20c | 1,076$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked Yes | 14c | 1,035$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -64%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d0…6d36backed Yes | 10c | 1,019$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…b898backed Yes | 43c | 978.76$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 949.21$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.9 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…d186backed Yes | 57c | 922.21$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce28…0b58backed Yes | 16c | 865.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 65c | 847.36$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 40c | 846.17$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.4 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 47c | 840.31$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.75 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…3f66backed Yes | 12c | 734.4$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 43c | 716.8$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 38c | 662.83$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.1 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 16c | 652.68$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…989dbacked Yes | 19c | 633.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63cf…52b4backed Yes | 8c | 621.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 19c | 539.38$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…9c7ebacked Yes | 22c | 514.26$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb053…bcdebacked Yes | 13c | 508.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4860…c5e4backed Yes | 18c | 500.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 25c | 474.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c07…956bbacked Yes | 36c | 468$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…2832backed Yes | 44c | 412.37$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6af6…296ebacked Yes | 14c | 396.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Yes | 43c | 390$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed Yes | 17c | 385.45$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5508…f7fdbacked Yes | 35c | 366.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 6c | 358.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf780…8396backed Yes | 21c | 357.61$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 58c | 345.21$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.21 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 42c | 343.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.36 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 32c | 334.81$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…4309backed Yes | 23c | 331$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed No | 59c | 310.35$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.12 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +52%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…8306backed No | 14c | 304.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.48 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbea…e2b0backed No | 33c | 304$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c7…d291backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 51c | 291.25$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 14c | 280.26$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…b3a6backed Yes | 18c | 280$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 43c | 275$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.85 | 140 | 27.9%39 W · 101 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…4f06backed Yes | 36c | 264.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 263.53$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e14…4254backed Yes | 57c | 262.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed No | 64c | 235$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked No | 64c | 233$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 48c | 230$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 214.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 12c | 211.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8f…6f11backed Yes | 20c | 210$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9934…6078backed Yes | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 70c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.9 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633b…2c2ebacked Yes | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59a…1967backed Yes | 15c | 199.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…fd1abacked Yes | 17c | 199.13$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 32c | 198.88$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 16c | 197.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ed…d9b5backed No | 45c | 195.25$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +88%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 11c | 191.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked No | 60c | 191.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed Yes | 37c | 190.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 57 | 68.4%39 W · 18 L | +11.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed No | 61c | 187.32$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…013ebacked No | 50c | 186.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 13c | 161.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…88ccbacked Yes | 18c | 154.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…3724backed Yes | 24c | 154.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…cb05backed Yes | 20c | 153.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e2…63fbbacked Yes | 40c | 149.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…6a4fbacked No | 17c | 146.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51b…f006backed No | 80c | 144.27$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…457ebacked Yes | 12c | 137.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 15c | 137$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a24…2605backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?this page
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?No won
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 5%?Yes won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by at least 15%?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 10% and 15%?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 5% and 10%?No won
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%?No won
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?No won
- Will another outcome occur in the the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.