TailMyPicks

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College Football · resolved market

UConn vs. Florida Atlantic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
UConnof UConn, Florida Atlantic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,600

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed UConn70c35,596$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,595.9619362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Florida Atlantic26c28,760$7,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,45858850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Florida Atlantic17c14,086$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.8662843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Florida Atlantic29c6,612$1,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.6193548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed UConn79c2,177$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.1913933.1%46 W · 93 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Florida Atlantic31c2,055$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.2365945.2%298 W · 361 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Florida Atlantic30c1,800$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.1434529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed UConn70c1,741$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.352449.4%259 W · 265 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Florida Atlantic29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.9413417.2%23 W · 111 L-8.3wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida Atlantic64c1,305$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.9540541.2%167 W · 238 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Florida Atlantic32c1,240$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.7920450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfca…68fcbacked Florida Atlantic30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36047131.4%148 W · 323 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Florida Atlantic25c1,156$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.6654243.2%234 W · 308 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Florida Atlantic30c1,130$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.148546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked UConn57c1,096$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.1568440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Florida Atlantic30c1,031$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.271,09041.7%455 W · 635 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Florida Atlantic30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Florida Atlantic56c980.79$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.4519842.9%85 W · 113 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Florida Atlantic30c975.27$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.367642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac7f…361fbacked Florida Atlantic11c944.2$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004122%9 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Florida Atlantic31c929$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.9981847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed UConn48c737.64$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.0286243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Florida Atlantic31c729.44$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.122,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed UConn77c675.66$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6610664.2%68 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Florida Atlantic31c588$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.42520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-58.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3685…0123backed UConn69c500.73$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.931275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Florida Atlantic31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15515734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Florida Atlantic31c486$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6640244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3dc…889bbacked UConn70c460$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Florida Atlantic25c425.6$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1063625%9 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03ca…9bf2backed Florida Atlantic30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed UConn70c385$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.520757.5%119 W · 88 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa667…2951backed Florida Atlantic30c365$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba10…bde0backed Florida Atlantic30c360$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1204…4d13backed Florida Atlantic30c360$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Florida Atlantic30c356.64$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5549443.7%216 W · 278 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed UConn79c343$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.034257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Florida Atlantic12c341$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.611844.1%52 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfc4…e453backed Florida Atlantic30c329$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Florida Atlantic31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005724.6%14 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b7…63bbbacked UConn70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04eb…36a7backed UConn68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.123360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7de0…7c66backed UConn54c292.59$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.595028%14 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Florida Atlantic31c274.48$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9726939.8%107 W · 162 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x30a2…f3a4backed UConn70c210$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed UConn66c206$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8620553.7%110 W · 95 L+14.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Florida Atlantic12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242931%9 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x346b…3df4backed Florida Atlantic30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2be2…6b2abacked UConn72c194.65$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.651844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981a…3c59backed UConn70c189$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.73100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eff…08c7backed UConn70c178$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…5c04backed UConn70c171$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4794…c8dabacked UConn70c170$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d23…2008backed UConn72c166.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4b…774fbacked UConn70c160$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66f3…bde4backed UConn63c156.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.51392.3%12 W · 1 L+4.6wins+0.36per pick57cpaid+58.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x2b6a…31f4backed UConn70c155$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7adf…1061backed UConn70c151$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed Florida Atlantic22c143.68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.573540%14 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc9e…19ddbacked UConn70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.866100%6 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked UConn71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.854872.9%35 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718a…5d86backed UConn72c138$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.872692.3%24 W · 2 L+5.1wins+0.20per pick73cpaid+26.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6a2e…6200backed Florida Atlantic13c137.63$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.681723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb887…6432backed Florida Atlantic30c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9334…32dabacked UConn70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2918868.1%128 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick69cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46fe…a43dbacked UConn70c107.14$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.141478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6077…f4f4backed UConn34c102.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.944447.7%21 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3d…ed5dbacked Florida Atlantic24c101.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Florida Atlantic33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3347331.5%149 W · 324 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked UConn49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Florida Atlantic29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0165…b1c6backed UConn59c97.79$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed UConn54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592080%16 W · 4 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+35.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35e2…2953backed Florida Atlantic28c90$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.23658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7c22…8f64backed UConn70c85.71$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.71616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-76.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf84…a7b5backed UConn37c81.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.082564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Florida Atlantic27c81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9111752.1%61 W · 56 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Florida Atlantic31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510246.1%47 W · 55 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed UConn30c73.59$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.864134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a73…9daabacked UConn71c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.34660.9%28 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Florida Atlantic32c67.07$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4528440.8%116 W · 168 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Florida Atlantic30c66.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.124436.9%90 W · 154 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x62bd…dad0backed UConn63c62.19$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6179…d549backed UConn70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.145168.6%35 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x686a…c769backed UConn71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.345867.2%39 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Florida Atlantic29c53.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6321629.2%63 W · 153 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd7…3118backed Florida Atlantic30c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-52.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2a…d4dbbacked Florida Atlantic30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Florida Atlantic30c49.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9924157.3%138 W · 103 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Florida Atlantic70c48.68$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.072979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick67cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3183…a303backed UConn70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.861275%9 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9620…5052backed UConn70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick65cpaid+40.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x00e0…8a94backed UConn72c40.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.473053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c4…4d54backed Florida Atlantic31c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked UConn71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.217234.7%25 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa580…bcbabacked UConn70c33.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7482…e151backed UConn70c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed UConn40c29.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.997534.7%26 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb46…5d1bbacked UConn68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.417464.9%48 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dea…26d5backed UConn69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.992268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.