Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8c93118baf09b760d598403f22daf50f8c1eac8b70c8ec0ce9dbd2d7b9a38f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 13,370$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,920.86 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 58c | 11,263$6,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,538.07 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 64c | 2,569$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,635.27 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 1,193$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.08 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4cc…3a42backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 34c | 799.98$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.99 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 31c | 783.07$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.84 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 3c | 584$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Yes | 69c | 505.05$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…d31cbacked Yes | 67c | 463.82$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 33c | 402$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.66 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Yes | 10c | 358.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 68c | 308.82$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc579…21cdbacked No | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 48c | 283.15$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 62c | 219.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 210.34$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.24 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 206.47$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 28c | 199.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.99 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…119dbacked Yes | 18c | 197.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Yes | 72c | 180.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 29c | 150$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.5 | 186 | 46.8%87 W · 99 L | +11.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe977…fcd8backed Yes | 70c | 147$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.9 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes | 70c | 144.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d5…9790backed Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…e5cebacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes | 70c | 143.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 18c | 139.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed No | 72c | 137.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.42 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 37c | 134.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 24c | 123.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77a…e6f9backed Yes | 70c | 116.94$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd962…1d5cbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…035dbacked Yes | 23c | 87.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 53c | 77.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Yes | 20c | 75.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…331fbacked Yes | 70c | 75.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.61 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…ec38backed Yes | 71c | 71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed Yes | 60c | 65.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 50c | 60.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked No | 55c | 48.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 37c | 46.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.28 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 35.4%105 W · 192 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 72c | 41.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6300…7b4fbacked Yes | 58c | 41.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…665abacked Yes | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 42c | 39.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 170 | 17.6%30 W · 140 L | -27.5wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fe…4da8backed Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…aa94backed Yes | 44c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 55c | 33.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…95b7backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…824ebacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Yes | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa0…ab7dbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 70c | 25.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…5cb3backed Yes | 70c | 15.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…95d4backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad11…b587backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.