Premier League · resolved market
Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-01-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79d6cb8257f1c6a8f664561098a7a4dbb5d4a6fe7dcf232658179c8207127429
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,494
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,494 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6218…f388backed Yes | 56c | 11,040$6,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,851.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 36c | 8,268$2,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,993.52 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked No | 36c | 6,367$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.86 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Yes | 31c | 1,650$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.55 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…b2cebacked Yes | 77c | 1,295$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Yes | 71c | 840.71$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.95 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 45c | 674.73$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.8 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 13c | 491.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…0d90backed Yes | 78c | 449.28$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.63 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a4…3358backed Yes | 12c | 431.54$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.54 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 31c | 339.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 37c | 316.97$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.32 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 41c | 245.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 19c | 244.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 138 | 41.3%57 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked No | 35c | 226.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1523…2e5fbacked Yes | 13c | 200.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.07 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 13c | 178.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…d4afbacked Yes | 69c | 173.61$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 171.25$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 71c | 162.61$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 60c | 162.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.16 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 65c | 153.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca39…4ed7backed Yes | 66c | 152.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 65c | 147$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Yes | 60c | 144.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…1befbacked Yes | 14c | 130$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 11cpaid | +654.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 9c | 126.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.65 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Yes | 78c | 105.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cb…c61ebacked No | 24c | 104.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked No | 45c | 103.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed No | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 252 | 56%141 W · 111 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 39c | 77.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed No | 15c | 75.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…d410backed No | 14c | 73.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e6…7bf4backed No | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0747…7e58backed Yes | 55c | 68.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Yes | 59c | 67.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 41c | 67.22$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…e4dabacked No | 36c | 65.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 53c | 57.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 46c | 53.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e87…2171backed No | 63c | 49.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed No | 36c | 45.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 29c | 43.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 175 | 49.1%86 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…ccdbbacked No | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…a0c6backed Yes | 41c | 36.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1974…bc18backed Yes | 50c | 35.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8535…2024backed No | 55c | 24.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa22f…604cbacked Yes | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Yes | 66c | 21.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 61cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 72c | 18.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed Yes | 75c | 13.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-01-10?this page
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.