Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4500d104abf642e5e21c68f409bc8b9289c557fe1922f6d7911a05f31d6fc97e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,867
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,867 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 2,651$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.18 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 21c | 2,222$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.05 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 8c | 784.56$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.26 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…bdb2backed Yes | 18c | 528.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.11 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 35c | 380.37$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.03 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…b44dbacked Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 62c | 294.23$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Yes | 19c | 261.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 28.2%49 W · 125 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2298…ac49backed Yes | 17c | 232.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 42%58 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba3…3e2dbacked Yes | 31c | 206.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 18c | 199.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Yes | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 158.07$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 72c | 151.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d73…3639backed Yes | 23c | 140.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 31c | 129.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 210 | 43.8%92 W · 118 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Yes | 29c | 128.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 119.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…119dbacked Yes | 15c | 115.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked Yes | 29c | 106.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed No | 75c | 103.32$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…588abacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes | 24c | 82.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…da58backed No | 76c | 75.13$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 30c | 66.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked No | 74c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fa…ebf3backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 38.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b8…6b25backed No | 80c | 37.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 37.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6e…c865backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…180bbacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…47debacked No | 78c | 19.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked No | 79c | 16.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed No | 78c | 15.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Mansfield Town FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Mansfield Town FC win on 2026-01-10?Yes won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-01-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.