Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28db28da0e1facf5a30e52103d8fc0ee61a9f5a6395c25918659f11b509462bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ae0…7483backed Yes | 54c | 2,759$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.66 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 57c | 1,396$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.68 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 43c | 1,017$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.96 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 47c | 881.54$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.94 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed No | 5c | 818$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 47c | 800.54$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.6 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 50c | 474.51$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.18 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 53c | 439$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.77 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 50c | 435$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.24 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 57c | 350.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 57c | 341.9$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.87 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 32c | 341.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 45c | 316.87$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.33 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 34c | 308.87$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1b…3e49backed Yes | 48c | 293.46$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.46 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…3c16backed Yes | 65c | 229.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.73 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 33c | 179.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 35c | 174.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -19.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 169.9$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 39c | 168.92$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked No | 42c | 167.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.29 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 52c | 162$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.48 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked Yes | 58c | 152.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0493…8d1cbacked No | 47c | 150$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd212…5182backed Yes | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 50c | 141.5$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 57c | 141$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.15 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 39c | 132.67$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 33c | 123.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 42c | 111.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 58c | 106.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 57c | 105.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.87 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 64c | 105.03$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 101$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.53 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 56c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 57c | 93.11$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 43c | 92.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 78c | 90.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked Yes | 56c | 88.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 47c | 82.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 53c | 80.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 60c | 79.22$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 38c | 78.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 52c | 76.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 49c | 70.42$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 49c | 70.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4f…1f77backed Yes | 76c | 66.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 71cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked No | 61c | 65.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.23 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 51c | 64.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 805 | 60.6%488 W · 317 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 56c | 62.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 74c | 59.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 53c | 57.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed Yes | 51c | 55.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.23 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 52c | 53.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 64c | 52.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed No | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e8…fdaabacked No | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 55c | 50.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…3fb1backed Yes | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…c42fbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…0a3fbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 161 | 48.4%78 W · 83 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…2dcabacked No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…aa30backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…9e1dbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -13.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc743…4cb7backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…c67fbacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31a…8817backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 182 | 54.4%99 W · 83 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked No | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…ca44backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 49.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5579…2db1backed Yes | 45c | 48.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 44c | 47.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 42c | 47.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 37c | 45.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 55c | 44.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816d…47d0backed Yes | 70c | 43.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d801backed No | 60c | 39.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked Yes | 59c | 39.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Yes | 42c | 39.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 42c | 37.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 55c | 37.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 54c | 36.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 53c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1414…866abacked Yes | 57c | 31.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.