UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa2aca5a141eaa49b02c508d8087610f925bb70d778ff11d77011b4480d8c6fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bryce Mitchellof Bryce Mitchell, Santiago Luna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $925,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $999,813
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $925,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Bryce Mitchell | 54c | 427,229$231,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196,099 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 178,150$81,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,877.29 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Santiago Luna | 36c | 67,581$24,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,142.26 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 63,346$33,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,905.55 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Santiago Luna | 33c | 52,659$17,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,266.59 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Santiago Luna | 47c | 51,580$24,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,093.16 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Santiago Luna | 47c | 30,000$14,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,099.92 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Santiago Luna | 9c | 28,875$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.44 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Bryce Mitchell | 74c | 26,221$19,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,787.46 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Santiago Luna | 46c | 25,059$11,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,527.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Santiago Luna | 45c | 22,586$10,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,163.56 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 21,914$11,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,259.02 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Santiago Luna | 48c | 20,467$9,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,823.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Santiago Luna | 45c | 19,007$8,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,613.32 | 371 | 52.8%196 W · 175 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 18,888$8,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,688.48 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Santiago Luna | 22c | 16,315$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.08 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Santiago Luna | 45c | 14,278$6,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,425.31 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…c66cbacked Bryce Mitchell | 55c | 12,385$6,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,573.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Santiago Luna | 47c | 12,150$5,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,710.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Santiago Luna | 25c | 12,047$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,011.79 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 11,160$5,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,133.6 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 10,858$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.61 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Bryce Mitchell | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 9,500$5,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Santiago Luna | 46c | 9,298$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.87 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…5f89backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 9,222$4,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Bryce Mitchell | 54c | 8,388$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,887.65 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…20d1backed Bryce Mitchell | 55c | 6,180$3,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 4,678$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.84 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 4,310$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.93 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c2d…6443backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 4,303$1,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.21 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Bryce Mitchell | 54c | 4,242$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Santiago Luna | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Santiago Luna | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Santiago Luna | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Santiago Luna | 5c | 3,865$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -80%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…dcd3backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 3,533$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Santiago Luna | 33c | 3,507$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.77 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddc…03c3backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 3,205$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.2 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Santiago Luna | 47c | 3,064$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…7dd1backed Santiago Luna | 48c | 2,587$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,241.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Bryce Mitchell | 54c | 2,462$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Bryce Mitchell | 52c | 2,417$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.25 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Santiago Luna | 18c | 2,345$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.32 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Santiago Luna | 45c | 2,336$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Santiago Luna | 10c | 2,273$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.73 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +11.8wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Bryce Mitchell | 66c | 2,191$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd2…43f3backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Santiago Luna | 3c | 2,144$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Santiago Luna | 48c | 2,032$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.21 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Santiago Luna | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Santiago Luna | 46c | 1,860$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 1,836$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.47 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +8.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Santiago Luna | 32c | 1,800$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.65 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Santiago Luna | 12c | 1,760$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.6 | 180 | 32.8%59 W · 121 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Santiago Luna | 15c | 1,746$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.87 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…89f2backed Santiago Luna | 3c | 1,678$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 1,626$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.22 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Santiago Luna | 10c | 1,524$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 1,500$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Bryce Mitchell | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.96 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Santiago Luna | 45c | 1,422$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.11 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Santiago Luna | 17c | 1,333$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Bryce Mitchell | 55c | 1,300$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…3fe8backed Bryce Mitchell | 57c | 1,300$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f48…a145backed Bryce Mitchell | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…191cbacked Santiago Luna | 3c | 1,281$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28fb…5e15backed Bryce Mitchell | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 137 | 35.8%49 W · 88 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Santiago Luna | 44c | 1,145$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.87 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…4652backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 1,133$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.51 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Bryce Mitchell | 74c | 1,116$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.51 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 1,114$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.45 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Santiago Luna | 44c | 1,105$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.84 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Bryce Mitchell | 54c | 1,100$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.51 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed Santiago Luna | 5c | 1,040$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…714cbacked Bryce Mitchell | 54c | 1,036$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…32c0backed Santiago Luna | 46c | 1,023$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.66 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…3426backed Santiago Luna | 20c | 1,011$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Santiago Luna | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Santiago Luna | 9c | 999.67$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.33 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Santiago Luna | 41c | 995.51$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.01 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed Bryce Mitchell | 52c | 953.43$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.65 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3155…268ebacked Bryce Mitchell | 55c | 951.03$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.96 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 945$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.15 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…4865backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Bryce Mitchell | 53c | 943$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.21 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Santiago Luna | 47c | 938.3$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Santiago Luna | 13c | 925$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.58 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…36f4backed Bryce Mitchell | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479b…cdb1backed Bryce Mitchell | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Bryce Mitchell | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aab…9ae0backed Bryce Mitchell | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Santiago Luna | 26c | 885$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.52 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Santiago Luna win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.