Music · resolved market
Will Ye be dropped as Wireless Headliner?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x683898a4107f7654e00acb01e298c19d6778a2e30f28e17464384c7af2c5216f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,941
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,941 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x623f…1852backed Yes | 74c | 1,447$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…ccd7backed No | 3c | 1,105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 2c | 814.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 623$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed No | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed No | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…72e4backed No | 16c | 303.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…58b0backed Yes | 74c | 261.92$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a5…d93bbacked No | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 33c | 232.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 35c | 225$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 19c | 216.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -50%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 7c | 199.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 32c | 167.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 20c | 153.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…24debacked No | 42c | 153.23$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ae…f3babacked Yes | 58c | 129$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673f…2538backed No | 40c | 126.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed Yes | 74c | 107.66$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9baa…e295backed No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 60c | 93.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3daa…41c4backed No | 22c | 89.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…73a8backed No | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b1…e53ebacked Yes | 59c | 75.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b1…f58fbacked Yes | 54c | 70$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9578…f066backed No | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 53c | 65.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…0570backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…77cdbacked No | 57c | 49.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked No | 47c | 46.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f4…6a91backed Yes | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…3736backed No | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…70d6backed Yes | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 58c | 38.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…2aa7backed No | 50c | 29.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…e963backed Yes | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.