MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafe7e6a73e225ba58149ab471cff1c4af041a0b37c8522612dad4c6dfb5c405c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Toronto Blue Jays, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $257,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $250,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 28,591$4,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.5 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 15,000$11,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070 | 484 | 46.7%226 W · 258 L | -33.7wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 13,129$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.6 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…7a06backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 10,851$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ca…c219backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 10,696$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,743.46 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 9,562$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.04 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 7,891$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.06 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 7,777$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.95 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 6,682$5,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.17 | 4,087 | 57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L | +66.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 6,488$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.56 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d0…a6fcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 5,600$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 3,386$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.86 | 820 | 42.6%349 W · 471 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…707fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 2,920$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 2,844$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.85 | 540 | 51.1%276 W · 264 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 1,965$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 170 | 14.1%24 W · 146 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…638dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 1,909$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 1,703$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.52 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 1,510$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.37 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 1,259$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.98 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays | 22c | 1,198$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.45 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 1,166$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 883 | 49.3%435 W · 448 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 1,145$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 1,113$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.18 | 323 | 51.7%167 W · 156 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ff…3535backed Toronto Blue Jays | 3c | 1,103$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 1,103$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.71 | 869 | 48.4%421 W · 448 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 925.93$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.62 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 863.76$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.49 | 274 | 46.7%128 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…2c20backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 767.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 750$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 672.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.25 | 274 | 47.8%131 W · 143 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 621.79$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 508 | 56.9%289 W · 219 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 566$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.1 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 526.49$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 313 | 30.7%96 W · 217 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 20c | 522.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.53 | 451 | 59.2%267 W · 184 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 520.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 251 | 53%133 W · 118 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 517.75$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 577 | 53.2%307 W · 270 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 507.58$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.58 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 504.4$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa448…3046backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 488$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 475.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.45 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 475.46$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.41 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 461.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 267 | 18.4%49 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 459.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.4 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 450$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 438$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.48 | 1,106 | 79.6%880 W · 226 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x619a…036abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 432.59$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.64 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 408$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…2737backed Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 394$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.84 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 374.98$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.49 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 370.7$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 364.88$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…4540backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 341.12$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.63 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 340$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.42 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 317.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 311.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 309.34$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.92 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 309.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 293.71$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 293.22$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.56 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 287$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…0180backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 280$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f7…f325backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 265.79$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 265.42$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…fd3cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 258.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.21 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 258.3$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 252.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.49 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 250.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 1,240 | 58.1%721 W · 519 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 14c | 245.68$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Toronto Blue Jays | 17c | 229.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.98 | 527 | 52.2%275 W · 252 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 227.88$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 620 | 43.1%267 W · 353 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 227$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.45 | 1,306 | 50.7%662 W · 644 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…ecb1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 207.64$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 205.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 205$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 280 | 31.1%87 W · 193 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 955 | 55.2%527 W · 428 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac1…2d57backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…ea7dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 199.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.33 | 381 | 33.6%128 W · 253 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf824…ebe3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 183.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 180.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.3 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…5005backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 179.67$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 174.57$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…6e04backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 171.94$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd089…648bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 170$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 169.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 16c | 165.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 416 | 48.8%203 W · 213 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Toronto Blue Jays | 23c | 163$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.76 | 127 | 33.9%43 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Toronto Blue Jays | 24c | 162$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 161.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…7636backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaba…a214backed Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 158.91$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3522…31a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 169 | 62.7%106 W · 63 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 13.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 15.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.