MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc06b23aa5798c99580ed982cd82996ded8dd644e6b32110052123426727954dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $329,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $329,331
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 46c | 205,809$94,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,194.89 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 54c | 170,998$92,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,339.03 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 54c | 58,276$31,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,469.04 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 54c | 37,003$19,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,981.8 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 20,895$9,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,720.68 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 46c | 20,000$9,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 47c | 11,630$5,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,204.27 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Over | 46c | 8,019$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.1 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 67c | 6,958$4,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.1 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 55c | 3,993$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.15 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 3,836$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.41 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 53c | 3,800$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 3,696$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.65 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 53c | 3,677$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.06 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 3,466$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 46c | 3,367$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,831.65 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 3,192$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.13 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.91 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 47c | 1,930$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.47 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Over | 47c | 1,903$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.14 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 54c | 1,822$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.04 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 51c | 1,733$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 1,361$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.55 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.99 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Under | 53c | 1,140$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.2 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Under | 55c | 1,110$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.5 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 43c | 915.84$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.49 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 824$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.68 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 48c | 750$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.8 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 680.83$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.03 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 54c | 615$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.1 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 48c | 568.75$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.75 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 47c | 568.52$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.03 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 53c | 414.61$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.31 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 54c | 398.78$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.34 | 478 | 52.3%250 W · 228 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Under | 53c | 377$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.81 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…017dbacked Under | 52c | 372.13$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.51 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 356$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 46c | 352.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.26 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 286$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.3 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 51c | 285.59$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.28 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 49c | 279.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.84 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 54c | 277.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 292 | 55.8%163 W · 129 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 46c | 275.98$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 49c | 259$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 46c | 257.24$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 247.35$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 55c | 236.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 214.57$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.72 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 53c | 188.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 53c | 163.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.89 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 153.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 53c | 152.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Over | 78c | 149.27$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 148.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 47c | 123.51$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 54c | 111$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Under | 55c | 95.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 54c | 91.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 57c | 82.38$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 57c | 81.53$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Over | 47c | 80.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Over | 48c | 79.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 54c | 76.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe3…6599backed Under | 54c | 70.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 47c | 67.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…e0dbbacked Over | 46c | 55.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 53c | 54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Under | 51c | 53.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.22 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…e316backed Over | 46c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17f…cd73backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed Under | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Under | 54c | 44.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 42.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Under | 57c | 41.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Under | 57c | 41.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 52c | 41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 13.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 15.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay RaysYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.