MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1258bbd5bd3f3bbed85e57dc4c810fa3400f14b5c89cdb0048edf506578d07ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $728,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $735,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $728,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8853…c058backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 50,000$16,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,639.41 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab3…64afbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 40,817$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000.27 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 38,222$16,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,588.56 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 35,439$22,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,442.91 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 35,159$17,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,399.41 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 31c | 31,343$9,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,781.28 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 27,946$19,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,760.89 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cincinnati Reds | 6c | 27,701$1,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.08 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 20,682$10,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,340.9 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 20,311$6,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,411.82 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 19,685$10,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,645.65 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 18,790$10,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,541.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…fd47backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 15,385$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.62 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 13,063$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,460.21 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 12,531$7,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,312.47 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 11,582$4,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632.72 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 10,050$5,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.86 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 10,044$5,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,922.88 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.95 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 9,792$4,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,895.84 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed St. Louis Cardinals | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 32c | 9,008$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,865.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 6,174$3,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.95 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 5,735$2,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800.97 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 4,284$3,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.84 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 3,913$3,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.39 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 3,500$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,391.23 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 3,163$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,258.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 3,144$1,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.86 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 3,129$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.03 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…24aebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 2,950$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.78 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 2,937$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.9 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Cincinnati Reds | 11c | 2,537$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 168 | 14.3%24 W · 144 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,240$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,239$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.1 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.77 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,166$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.2 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,123$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.6 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,962$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.43 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,901$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 3c | 1,900$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 174 | 17.2%30 W · 144 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,849$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.95 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 1,727$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 1,658$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.92 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,639$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.38 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9698…2504backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 1,632$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.38 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,541$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.79 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 29c | 1,513$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.24 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 1,510$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.84 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e6…4c4ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed Cincinnati Reds | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,449$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.78 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 1,305$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.42 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 1,154$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,103$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.15 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cincinnati Reds | 36c | 1,095$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.6 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 1,085$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.44 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…495fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 999.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…70adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 981.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…5c3dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 843.26$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.26 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 842.78$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.82 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 807.57$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.79 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 803.92$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.92 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 735$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Cincinnati Reds | 24c | 713.82$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.25 | 556 | 58.1%323 W · 233 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 699.94$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.98 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 15c | 681.17$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.32 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 658.08$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.62 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…46fcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 650.02$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe079…a06fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 622.63$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 593.61$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.96 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 582.69$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.35 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 577.41$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.05 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 553.58$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.67 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…f400backed St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 536.99$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 510.17$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 15c | 507.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cincinnati Reds | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 499.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.37 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 34c | 494.03$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.59 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba0…4586backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 486.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.63 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…cd4fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 480$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 474$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.38 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 51c | 432.69$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.02 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 429.11$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.26 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74dd…df82backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 422$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 420.8$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.47 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 416$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 408.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 402.62$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.71 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.