TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
magicof 9z, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$419,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$513,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e2c…787cbacked 9z18c22,580$4,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,034.3275245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked 9z18c21,619$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.4622129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked 9z56c13,586$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,599.9924038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9166…b479backed magic44c13,416$5,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,512.710749.5%53 W · 54 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 9z54c13,028$7,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,066.741,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab6a…2978backed 9z53c10,800$5,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,734.81741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked magic46c10,085$4,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,460.6349536.4%180 W · 315 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed 9z40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0007943%34 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed magic67c6,402$4,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,090.2519468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 9z29c5,618$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.822,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4097…9397backed magic60c4,703$2,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,881.993551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dcd…5ef7backed 9z30c4,680$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.6330153.8%162 W · 139 L-1.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked magic60c4,100$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6401,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0063…2dd2backed magic63c3,846$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.4640264.7%260 W · 142 L+49.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+10.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed magic71c3,300$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95728943.6%126 W · 163 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic45c3,186$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,752.565,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcd…0a69backed magic56c3,070$1,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.799349.5%46 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2785…ce75backed magic69c3,030$2,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.9113550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed 9z21c2,751$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.9357322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x521f…3344backed 9z58c2,526$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.926347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed 9z21c2,398$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.9261034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked 9z35c2,300$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81035847.5%170 W · 188 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed magic68c2,190$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.519840.9%81 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c7b…6e9dbacked magic73c1,989$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.6418444%81 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked magic67c1,960$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.413,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed magic52c1,817$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.4418837.2%70 W · 118 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a06…52c2backed 9z36c1,750$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.4560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed 9z48c1,703$816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.922,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked 9z55c1,700$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93575245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd99b…50bebacked 9z17c1,592$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.431346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked magic78c1,546$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.3122241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bc6…315dbacked magic71c1,503$1,063 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.051546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed 9z40c1,350$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54037157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed magic44c1,342$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.2457641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed magic79c1,324$1,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9819057.9%110 W · 80 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked magic45c1,304$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.214247.2%67 W · 75 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked 9z31c1,286$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked 9z52c1,245$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.1822447.8%107 W · 117 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed 9z27c1,198$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.934,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked 9z27c1,126$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.822,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed 9z56c1,098$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.4313646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61a8…519dbacked 9z31c1,053$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33014544.8%65 W · 80 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb850…3808backed 9z1c1,036$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked magic65c974.99$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.21,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd772…1d8fbacked 9z38c943.42$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.522441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd75a…d264backed 9z25c932$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.174934.7%17 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 9z36c912.05$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked 9z39c910$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.93426.5%9 W · 25 L-5.2wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed magic70c904.55$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.5237440.4%151 W · 223 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…637abacked magic54c899.99$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4152766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed 9z13c880.59$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.635,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891a…f778backed magic76c868.08$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.323043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed 9z54c800$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.82,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf84d…8830backed magic44c800$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4486663.6%42 W · 24 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa533…acacbacked magic62c778.44$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.0523858.4%139 W · 99 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked 9z31c738.15$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.123,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked magic69c733.52$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.441,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…f812backed 9z4c709.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.45446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked 9z9c698.96$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5711221.4%24 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f6…eb09backed magic60c650.4$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.167844.9%35 W · 43 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe888…0364backed 9z27c648.15$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751520%3 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-53.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked magic64c646.55$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.93,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked 9z29c631.49$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.1758745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked magic68c587.44$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.443951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 9z29c558.44$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.582,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d9…4b4bbacked 9z54c542.93$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.941136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked 9z55c542.09$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.1234542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7100…c12abacked 9z36c519.49$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.023537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed 9z19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954134.1%14 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z51c489.35$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.477,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked 9z32c476.58$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.532,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc466…3f77backed 9z43c460.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed 9z41c435.03$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.280942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed 9z13c422.05$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0812118.2%22 W · 99 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick28cpaid-52.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0000…0f9cbacked 9z37c401.34$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503528.6%10 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3885…2cd8backed magic50c400.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.915150.3%76 W · 75 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d1…ee7abacked magic52c400$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19322454.5%122 W · 102 L+17.5wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed 9z36c387$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.0335848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e6a…7dccbacked magic75c374.7$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.976550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed 9z56c340$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.47234.7%25 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked magic62c325.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.0346042.8%197 W · 263 L+16.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed 9z28c318$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.742,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked 9z49c306.49$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x789a…3dfabacked 9z30c302.7$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.722958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3835…bcacbacked magic47c300$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.612951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f1…e320backed magic67c289.93$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.884060%24 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x6fc1…9a14backed 9z38c286.63$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.923243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc386…386fbacked 9z55c280$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425944.8%116 W · 143 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x29f7…b26bbacked 9z39c276.9$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7fd…3193backed 9z20c269.28$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b94…9c0dbacked magic75c265.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.342751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf71e…917bbacked magic77c259.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.816560%39 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4087…048bbacked magic50c258$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1297850%39 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed magic73c255.38$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.957252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed 9z47c251.42$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8649850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274f…971abacked 9z33c251.11$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.284440.9%18 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-33.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed 9z20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed magic71c249.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.71,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe92…4215backed magic44c247.73$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.731241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick31cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked magic78c245.67$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3316963.3%107 W · 62 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.