CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4de436ae140cbb2a47ce4a423ea7322432cdddded78ede0fda6a70471f9417
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 485.1$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.69 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…ff1dbacked Under | 47c | 412.91$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 51c | 254.07$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.49 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 49c | 173$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.99 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 52c | 161.85$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.16 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…8bc9backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 25c | 99.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 23c | 70.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 63.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa108…573ebacked Over | 48c | 51.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…6700backed Under | 42c | 47.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 48c | 28.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 61c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…776fbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Over | 52c | 19.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5084…4712backed Over | 68c | 18.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dmagic won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)magic won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.