CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa64d9141bb6e4ed83b9c94200ac371e06581edf04b89dbdc233895eb911352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- magicof 9z, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,224
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked 9z | 35c | 15,793$5,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,464.47 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked magic | 65c | 14,517$9,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.55 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd747…076cbacked 9z | 35c | 1,300$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed magic | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed magic | 66c | 765.15$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.15 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked magic | 66c | 761.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.9 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed magic | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 9z | 36c | 748.22$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.36 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 9z | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed magic | 65c | 625$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed magic | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed magic | 64c | 313.97$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked 9z | 35c | 289.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.49 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked 9z | 35c | 256$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.6 | 277 | 53.8%149 W · 128 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed 9z | 35c | 213$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 207 | 43%89 W · 118 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked magic | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 194 | 57.2%111 W · 83 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed 9z | 34c | 116$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked magic | 66c | 113.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z | 34c | 113.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked magic | 66c | 112.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3878…1ab8backed 9z | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked 9z | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked magic | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d29…872abacked magic | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed magic | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed 9z | 36c | 91.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked 9z | 36c | 90.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb10…5080backed magic | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked 9z | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked magic | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 9z | 37c | 77.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed magic | 65c | 60.22$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed 9z | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…7f56backed magic | 66c | 56.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2914…aff6backed magic | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked 9z | 29c | 42.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed magic | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…f194backed 9z | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 43.5%81 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed 9z | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 220 | 60.9%134 W · 86 L | +16.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed 9z | 26c | 39.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed 9z | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 101 | 29.7%30 W · 71 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked magic | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…8638backed 9z | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked magic | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d75…3f15backed 9z | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed magic | 72c | 29.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 686 | 59.5%408 W · 278 L | +65.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…4338backed magic | 65c | 28.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked magic | 64c | 28.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked 9z | 37c | 28.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed magic | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed magic | 66c | 22.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac71…f74cbacked magic | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -15.9wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x06ad…6b2fbacked magic | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -9.5wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked magic | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 173 | 60.1%104 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked magic | 65c | 17.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dmagic won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnermagic won
- Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner9z won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs magic (+3.5)magic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.