UFC · resolved market
Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x472970e96f0768a46a31ab75f0747d91e295e67d397134165284981da18ccd87
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trent Millerof Trent Miller, Douglas Rodrigues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $207,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,950
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $207,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8853…c058backed Douglas Rodrigues | 11c | 60,000$6,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,549.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Trent Miller | 24c | 55,571$13,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,350.56 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f44…93c2backed Douglas Rodrigues | 80c | 20,301$16,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,228.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f8…daa1backed Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 9,741$7,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,402.57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb484…3bc3backed Douglas Rodrigues | 6c | 6,346$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…e8f6backed Trent Miller | 23c | 5,500$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,210.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +326.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…d5d1backed Trent Miller | 31c | 5,114$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,533.72 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed Trent Miller | 23c | 4,629$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Trent Miller | 18c | 3,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,870 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Trent Miller | 31c | 3,415$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,367.58 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…5dcebacked Douglas Rodrigues | 75c | 3,335$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…cfd7backed Trent Miller | 25c | 2,971$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,241.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 17cpaid | +355.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Douglas Rodrigues | 74c | 2,911$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.99 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Trent Miller | 18c | 2,878$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.41 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…bbd0backed Douglas Rodrigues | 75c | 2,678$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trent Miller | 35c | 2,656$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.82 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Trent Miller | 23c | 2,610$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.98 | 152 | 38.2%58 W · 94 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Douglas Rodrigues | 80c | 2,502$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b0…e5a5backed Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 2,409$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c3…bea3backed Douglas Rodrigues | 63c | 2,323$1,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,474.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked Trent Miller | 25c | 2,222$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +177%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…7a4ebacked Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 2,180$1,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 2,154$1,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Douglas Rodrigues | 75c | 2,058$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Douglas Rodrigues | 75c | 2,024$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Trent Miller | 46c | 1,875$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.49 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…f245backed Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 1,792$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9d…3c52backed Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 1,757$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x806a…b7dabacked Douglas Rodrigues | 74c | 1,680$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Douglas Rodrigues | 77c | 1,518$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.05 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Trent Miller | 40c | 1,247$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.43 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3689…2967backed Douglas Rodrigues | 77c | 1,216$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Trent Miller | 24c | 1,094$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.52 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…7aa2backed Trent Miller | 18c | 1,041$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.59 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…8e49backed Douglas Rodrigues | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Douglas Rodrigues | 75c | 1,000$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Douglas Rodrigues | 77c | 999.66$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.74 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…cedebacked Trent Miller | 35c | 974.84$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.75 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +71%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x02a8…68a2backed Douglas Rodrigues | 75c | 942.91$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…ee37backed Douglas Rodrigues | 75c | 938.34$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2edd…e968backed Douglas Rodrigues | 75c | 936.51$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Douglas Rodrigues | 77c | 920.44$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb99c…7e96backed Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 920$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Douglas Rodrigues | 69c | 899.96$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.47 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed Trent Miller | 21c | 865.51$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +385.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Douglas Rodrigues | 75c | 767.37$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Douglas Rodrigues | 66c | 757.8$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Douglas Rodrigues | 67c | 741.34$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trent Miller | 16c | 732.1$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.62 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Douglas Rodrigues | 42c | 600$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.75 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Douglas Rodrigues | 68c | 600$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.36 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671d…2e26backed Trent Miller | 36c | 593.21$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.44 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718f…f25abacked Douglas Rodrigues | 77c | 566.29$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Trent Miller | 40c | 549.45$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 539$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…b07abacked Trent Miller | 19c | 525$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 517.41$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.87 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -5.4wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Trent Miller | 39c | 505.9$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.16 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Trent Miller | 15c | 499.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.99 | 208 | 37%77 W · 131 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Trent Miller | 13c | 453.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Trent Miller | 25c | 440.07$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.66 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Trent Miller | 24c | 417.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2201…2fcdbacked Douglas Rodrigues | 74c | 406.76$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Douglas Rodrigues | 74c | 400$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 564 | 50.5%285 W · 279 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Trent Miller | 18c | 399.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…80f2backed Douglas Rodrigues | 75c | 387.25$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.82 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Trent Miller | 34c | 354.7$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.72 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Trent Miller | 26c | 345.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.05 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Trent Miller | 19c | 343.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.63 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | +11.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Trent Miller | 32c | 338.65$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Trent Miller | 20c | 324.96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7876…a162backed Douglas Rodrigues | 77c | 320$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaba…a214backed Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 310.07$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Trent Miller | 24c | 295.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.3 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x294a…6e10backed Trent Miller | 22c | 293.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +201.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Trent Miller | 40c | 260.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.79 | 63 | 68.3%43 W · 20 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Douglas Rodrigues | 77c | 250$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae12…a966backed Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 244.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf51…8bfabacked Trent Miller | 14c | 232.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.02 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Trent Miller | 17c | 227.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Trent Miller | 24c | 217.59$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 143 | 44.1%63 W · 80 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Trent Miller | 22c | 214.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…ecb1backed Douglas Rodrigues | 74c | 210$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Trent Miller | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…e521backed Douglas Rodrigues | 78c | 199.94$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Trent Miller | 40c | 199.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.7 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +68%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…6e04backed Douglas Rodrigues | 77c | 195.66$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed Douglas Rodrigues | 65c | 192.29$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 187$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5141…7346backed Trent Miller | 26c | 186.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Douglas Rodrigues | 74c | 182.55$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dae…72febacked Trent Miller | 18c | 181.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…4f7cbacked Douglas Rodrigues | 76c | 177.76$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Trent Miller | 22c | 176.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…f636backed Douglas Rodrigues | 77c | 149.92$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…4715backed Douglas Rodrigues | 74c | 134$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…a2bebacked Douglas Rodrigues | 75c | 134$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Trent Miller | 37c | 118$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x733c…521bbacked Douglas Rodrigues | 72c | 116.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Trent Miller | 16c | 107.62$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.4 | 139 | 40.3%56 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)this page
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.