Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Alex Hernandez vs Nick Hardt
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe88b91ad2855a87e83d100be3ee6953843e8f3e3e52418fb6dcb349b29babde7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nick Hardtof Alex Hernandez, Nick Hardt
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,406
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,406 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Hernandez | 12c | 13,073$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.3 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alex Hernandez | 12c | 2,186$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.37 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a4…4917backed Alex Hernandez | 17c | 2,102$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.85 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70f…ed45backed Alex Hernandez | 2c | 1,800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…3c0dbacked Alex Hernandez | 20c | 1,732$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.37 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…1862backed Nick Hardt | 80c | 1,438$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Hernandez | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alex Hernandez | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nick Hardt | 79c | 947.94$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.54 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Alex Hernandez | 19c | 716.02$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.27 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alex Hernandez | 19c | 599.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.15 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alex Hernandez | 20c | 559.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.56 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 526.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.22 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alex Hernandez | 20c | 518.04$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Nick Hardt | 80c | 478$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.78 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd74…00a1backed Nick Hardt | 72c | 459$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 508 | 58.1%295 W · 213 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Nick Hardt | 52c | 403.97$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.43 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Alex Hernandez | 17c | 401$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.38 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Alex Hernandez | 20c | 375.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 1,068 | 57.4%613 W · 455 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alex Hernandez | 20c | 353.75$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.33 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Alex Hernandez | 48c | 336.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.92 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…58eebacked Nick Hardt | 80c | 334.27$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 2,275 | 42.7%972 W · 1,303 L | +33.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Alex Hernandez | 12c | 296.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Alex Hernandez | 23c | 295.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Alex Hernandez | 14c | 279.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Alex Hernandez | 19c | 241.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alex Hernandez | 21c | 237.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Alex Hernandez | 29c | 213$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ec…e521backed Nick Hardt | 72c | 210.08$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Nick Hardt | 79c | 209$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…ecb1backed Nick Hardt | 72c | 204.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Alex Hernandez | 26c | 179.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Nick Hardt | 77c | 174$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Alex Hernandez | 23c | 166.34$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Alex Hernandez | 17c | 162.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1,785 | 48.7%869 W · 916 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Alex Hernandez | 25c | 162.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Nick Hardt | 62c | 160.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.75 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 157.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Alex Hernandez | 17c | 152$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 378 | 53.7%203 W · 175 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5197…6e04backed Nick Hardt | 76c | 150$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Alex Hernandez | 18c | 147.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0724backed Nick Hardt | 72c | 136.78$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Nick Hardt | 80c | 125.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cc…9986backed Nick Hardt | 80c | 125.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Nick Hardt | 80c | 123.49$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.27 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5a…5005backed Nick Hardt | 77c | 111.98$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Alex Hernandez | 18c | 111.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 568 | 48.9%278 W · 290 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Alex Hernandez | 20c | 105.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,269 | 44.8%568 W · 701 L | -5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alex Hernandez | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…db95backed Alex Hernandez | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 340 | 52.1%177 W · 163 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Alex Hernandez | 26c | 95.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Nick Hardt | 71c | 93.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 524 | 57.3%300 W · 224 L | +29.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…d0f0backed Alex Hernandez | 34c | 92.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 468 | 55.1%258 W · 210 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Alex Hernandez | 17c | 86.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd928…705fbacked Alex Hernandez | 17c | 83.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 297 | 52.9%157 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Nick Hardt | 73c | 82.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…4a83backed Alex Hernandez | 16c | 78.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 124 | 23.4%29 W · 95 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alex Hernandez | 20c | 76.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Alex Hernandez | 20c | 75.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 591 | 57.7%341 W · 250 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alex Hernandez | 28c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Nick Hardt | 75c | 71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 796 | 53%422 W · 374 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Alex Hernandez | 17c | 70.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Nick Hardt | 76c | 65.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 1,877 | 59.4%1,115 W · 762 L | +8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alex Hernandez | 22c | 62.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Alex Hernandez | 25c | 58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Nick Hardt | 79c | 55.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Alex Hernandez | 21c | 53.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Nick Hardt | 62c | 52.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 881 | 57.9%510 W · 371 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Nick Hardt | 71c | 51.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Alex Hernandez | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Alex Hernandez | 38c | 50.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Alex Hernandez | 22c | 50.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Alex Hernandez | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Nick Hardt | 71c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…14b8backed Nick Hardt | 77c | 43.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Nick Hardt | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdb…4cc2backed Nick Hardt | 79c | 34.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Alex Hernandez | 46c | 32.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…95e8backed Nick Hardt | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 263 | 50.6%133 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Alex Hernandez | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 417 | 58.5%244 W · 173 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Nick Hardt | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Nick Hardt | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Nick Hardt | 73c | 27.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…805abacked Nick Hardt | 74c | 21.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Nick Hardt | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bogota: Alex Hernandez vs Nick Hardtthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Hernandez vs HardtHardt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.