MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d4ea1d592f030ba20a226a4825b83ee10dd0fd428650e60011109c8a617346
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Toronto Blue Jaysof Toronto Blue Jays, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $461,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $484,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $461,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 28,571$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,571.43 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 27,000$9,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,819.79 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 25,249$17,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,341.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…832cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 24,031$15,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,860.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 20,993$8,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,674.42 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 27c | 17,559$4,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,659.28 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 14,783$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,799.84 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 14,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,100 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 11,851$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885.75 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 10,725$6,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,975.4 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 9,465$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,172.52 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 9,443$6,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,929.8 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 9,323$5,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,045.75 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 9,258$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,925.33 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 64c | 7,782$5,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,014.05 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 6,457$3,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,054.19 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…69aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 5,956$1,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,751.82 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 63c | 5,345$3,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,973.63 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 5,000$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…e5b7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,639.97 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.9wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +87.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 3,732$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.73 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 3,596$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.42 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 3,338$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.75 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 3,294$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.04 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 58c | 3,210$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.12 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 3,000$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 2,919$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 2,843$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.46 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…22d2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 73c | 2,637$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.97 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…1d6bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 2,520$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 2,282$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.92 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 52c | 2,234$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.47 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Philadelphia Phillies | 22c | 2,171$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.83 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 2,015$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.77 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,999$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.17 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Philadelphia Phillies | 47c | 1,912$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.95 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,897$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.86 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…bf18backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,868$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.86 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,780$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.8 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,723$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.95 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 1,700$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,692$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.77 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb25…62edbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 1,595$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.77 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Toronto Blue Jays | 67c | 1,518$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.73 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…781abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…cc95backed Toronto Blue Jays | 65c | 1,500$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.45 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986b…bdc6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 74c | 1,487$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.49 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 72cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…76fabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 69c | 1,441$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef6b…32e1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,417$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Philadelphia Phillies | 54c | 1,412$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.93 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 16c | 1,360$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.6 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 1,275$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.53 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 1,159$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 1,154$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.75 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 1,138$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 72c | 1,119$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.62 | 242 | 52.9%128 W · 114 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 1,091$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.72 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Toronto Blue Jays | 76c | 1,061$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.39 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Toronto Blue Jays | 70c | 1,015$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.87 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Philadelphia Phillies | 23c | 1,013$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…2a89backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 64c | 924.42$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.85 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…16b9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 872.22$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.91 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 799$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.35 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…ae05backed Toronto Blue Jays | 46c | 784.24$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Philadelphia Phillies | 30c | 781$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.42 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 780.02$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.25 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 780.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 750$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.5 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 737.99$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.15 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Toronto Blue Jays | 38c | 736.89$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.89 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed Philadelphia Phillies | 63c | 714.04$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.51 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 700.89$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.91 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 694.49$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.77 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 68c | 681.19$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.82 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 71c | 673.69$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.22 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 640.25$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.88 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Philadelphia Phillies | 56c | 621.27$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.97 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 599.95$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.97 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 591$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.06 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 574.07$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.12 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…1840backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 564.01$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 533.24$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.61 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 507.07$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.67 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…48efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 495.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 479.47$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.66 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 459.31$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.55 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 65c | 452.97$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.14 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.