MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5fded87fb54801a633c8ef3e4de96c1dc739192235b2807ac47db3dde6c67f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,689
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,689 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 49c | 138,887$68,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,332.4 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 50c | 101,798$50,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,898.85 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 52c | 58,445$30,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,053.72 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 13,206$6,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,206.66 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 41c | 11,680$4,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,814.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 3,838$1,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,691.5 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 40c | 2,349$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.15 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 31c | 1,755$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.05 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 1,701$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.27 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 26c | 1,591$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.58 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 49c | 1,332$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.4 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 1,276$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.24 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 1,257$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.35 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 1,215$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.41 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 49c | 1,098$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.02 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,087$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,010$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 992$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.29 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 982.1$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.23 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 46c | 794.93$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.08 | 1,722 | 50.3%867 W · 855 L | +55.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 47c | 593.2$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.8 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 47c | 585$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 51c | 505.7$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.69 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…c0f0backed Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x421a…eb6ebacked Under | 50c | 487.8$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 39c | 434.99$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.73 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 432$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.98 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Over | 51c | 372.55$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.55 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 50c | 359$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 48c | 356.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.11 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 37c | 318.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.52 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 47c | 232.05$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.06 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Under | 58c | 230.84$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.34 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 1,167 | 49%572 W · 595 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 48c | 208.87$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 49c | 194.55$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Under | 48c | 182.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 452 | 52.4%237 W · 215 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 51c | 172.41$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Under | 44c | 172.02$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.69 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e76…dd6bbacked Over | 52c | 154.35$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 144$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 48c | 129.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 52c | 106.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa95a…6b78backed Under | 47c | 106.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 50c | 101.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb4…4551backed Under | 49c | 98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Under | 20c | 96.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Over | 50c | 93.09$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Over | 72c | 93$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…5862backed Over | 64c | 91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Over | 51c | 88.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 406 | 58.4%237 W · 169 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 51c | 88.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 62c | 84.37$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 36c | 67.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Under | 23c | 63.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 50c | 54.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 314 | 46.8%147 W · 167 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf7…c485backed Over | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 50c | 52.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 49c | 49.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.11 | 412 | 49.5%204 W · 208 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6509…2dc5backed Over | 51c | 47.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 52c | 44.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 39c | 42.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…16b9backed Over | 34c | 41.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 51c | 39.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 67c | 33.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…fdffbacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 37c | 29.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b4…11adbacked Over | 48c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcb…65fcbacked Over | 54c | 28.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 53c | 28.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 51c | 25.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…2efbbacked Over | 63c | 19.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5this page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.