TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Philadelphia Philliesof Toronto Blue Jays, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 807 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays50c7,379$3,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,721.7410,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies53c5,168$2,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,406.894,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies40c3,647$1,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.658,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies75c3,023$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.2111,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays22c1,827$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.486,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Toronto Blue Jays59c1,705$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.453,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays23c1,029$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.71,58648.5%770 W · 816 L-2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Philadelphia Phillies69c1,023$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.3382042.6%349 W · 471 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Toronto Blue Jays40c947.91$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.058,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies65c596.73$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1912,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays33c555.5$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.455,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Philadelphia Phillies77c399.94$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.994,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Toronto Blue Jays23c307.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.34833.3%16 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Toronto Blue Jays23c273$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7953238.5%205 W · 327 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Toronto Blue Jays31c229.9$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.019,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Toronto Blue Jays62c175.15$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.215,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Philadelphia Phillies77c171.56$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.461,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Toronto Blue Jays63c150.3$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.861,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Toronto Blue Jays23c133$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5975453.2%401 W · 353 L+23.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Toronto Blue Jays24c128$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.721,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Philadelphia Phillies76c125.5$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1247552%247 W · 228 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Toronto Blue Jays23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2344845.8%205 W · 243 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Toronto Blue Jays23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2326444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Philadelphia Phillies48c91.92$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.688656.4%500 W · 386 L+30.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc354…0386backed Philadelphia Phillies45c90.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.09333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick21cpaid-25.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Toronto Blue Jays32c85.19$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2633148.6%161 W · 170 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Philadelphia Phillies63c79.31$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.311,21250%606 W · 606 L+5.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Philadelphia Phillies66c74.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1432846.6%153 W · 175 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Philadelphia Phillies54c71.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.371,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Toronto Blue Jays22c70.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.718,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Toronto Blue Jays23c70.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2127447.8%131 W · 143 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies77c63.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.82,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Toronto Blue Jays22c59.26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0435747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fae…8f07backed Toronto Blue Jays62c59.1$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.783145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Toronto Blue Jays46c54.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1214336.4%52 W · 91 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Philadelphia Phillies37c54.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0523142.9%99 W · 132 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc4b…ae05backed Toronto Blue Jays38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0eb…dd3dbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c51.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea5b…2608backed Philadelphia Phillies78c51.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd064…f0d1backed Philadelphia Phillies78c51.06$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43b6…0c28backed Philadelphia Phillies78c51.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb23c…2916backed Philadelphia Phillies78c51.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b4…11adbacked Toronto Blue Jays43c51$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0317148%82 W · 89 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ce2…1832backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2dc…e59cbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.94$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fed…8ce9backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424d…84febacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24e0…6398backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73b…1a86backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeed0…918dbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.87$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0de6…d38cbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0883…a120backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb812…59b3backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa83d…e894backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe736…7722backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xede4…3da9backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x790e…701cbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0b…060ebacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdedb…b46bbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.73$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd896…c3dbbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61dd…d220backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.72$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6015…b281backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.68$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf3…bc96backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc88…0bfbbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1853…326abacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f2…a434backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x776d…3271backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc315…ea17backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a50…3b93backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ff…82a0backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x404b…687abacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4239…a604backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.54$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4d…e40cbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.52$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…f1a5backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.51$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf888…355fbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe914…a874backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adb…2f55backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.45$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd413…d0abbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6c…6fa3backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.43$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed5…e857backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x696e…7341backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.4$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ef…cc56backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda9…b567backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.38$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cae…b0eebacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.37$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b3c…21dbbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b77…38dfbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.36$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c5…7d84backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5432…65adbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe938…c2aabacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.34$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e8…ef46backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb385…deefbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6905…da92backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf48f…591bbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd740…978fbacked Philadelphia Phillies78c50.3$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe82d…d914backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…4999backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.28$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b59…d042backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf37b…2051backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab6…edd0backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.24$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4d7…86c7backed Philadelphia Phillies78c50.23$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.