MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe88822c811371add1585aa9e817f16761c15b374dcb9ab44aa083e9e6c197228
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,376
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,376 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 16,152$10,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,505.71 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 32c | 15,419$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920.41 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 71c | 8,817$6,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.88 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 32c | 8,560$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.3 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 32c | 3,471$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.87 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 76c | 2,693$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.47 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 36c | 1,802$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.47 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Under | 60c | 1,149$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.56 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…345cbacked Over | 34c | 846.26$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 26c | 809.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…2680backed Under | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…7f85backed Under | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 33 | 81.8%27 W · 6 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 68c | 637.46$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.66 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Under | 66c | 529.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Over | 32c | 502$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…e6a6backed Over | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +119.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 64c | 385$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 33c | 313.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.54 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 36c | 305.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Under | 67c | 253.34$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.6 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 26c | 249.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…f02dbacked Over | 32c | 214.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Over | 30c | 200.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.62 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 32c | 178$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 8c | 168$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Under | 66c | 163.39$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 36c | 160.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 41c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 36c | 145.29$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 32c | 140.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 34c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.8 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 32c | 138.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 78c | 128.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 322 | 66.5%214 W · 108 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 68c | 127.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 67c | 117.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Over | 35c | 112$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 264 | 44.3%117 W · 147 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Over | 24c | 97.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 153 | 40.5%62 W · 91 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Over | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 278 | 46.8%130 W · 148 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 66c | 84.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 69c | 80.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 78.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Over | 32c | 72.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 128 | 55.5%71 W · 57 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 70c | 71.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Over | 35c | 68.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2249…3005backed Under | 67c | 68.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 68.25$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 33c | 67.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 75c | 66.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Over | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 532 | 38.5%205 W · 327 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1821…26a0backed Under | 65c | 58.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Over | 34c | 57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 29c | 56.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.59 | 886 | 56.4%500 W · 386 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…16b9backed Under | 74c | 55.61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Under | 58c | 53.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 42c | 50.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 425 | 51.8%220 W · 205 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…473ebacked Over | 29c | 50.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…61eabacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Under | 67c | 49.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 143 | 36.4%52 W · 91 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…e893backed Over | 35c | 46.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 37c | 45.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 495 | 51.9%257 W · 238 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd432…ce2dbacked Under | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Under | 67c | 44.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 33c | 41.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Over | 35c | 39.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 445 | 53.5%238 W · 207 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 34c | 38.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 36c | 38.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Under | 65c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Over | 42c | 35.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Under | 67c | 34.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Under | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 1,003 | 44.6%447 W · 556 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Under | 65c | 21.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 70c | 19.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 69c | 18.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Under | 75c | 17.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…f016backed Under | 69c | 17.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 69c | 15.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Under | 70c | 15.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 69c | 14.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 215 | 47%101 W · 114 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5this page
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)Toronto Blue Jays won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5)Philadelphia Phillies won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesToronto Blue Jays won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia PhilliesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.