TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Toronto Blue Jaysof Philadelphia Phillies, Toronto Blue Jays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,723
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,723 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,458 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21f5…c161backed Philadelphia Phillies50c13,200$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,599.815457.4%31 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Philadelphia Phillies47c7,500$3,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,52548952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays51c5,127$2,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,504.136,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Toronto Blue Jays50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5006,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Toronto Blue Jays54c4,695$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.513461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Toronto Blue Jays54c3,700$1,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70269453.6%372 W · 322 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Toronto Blue Jays73c2,787$2,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.6810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Toronto Blue Jays53c2,738$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.054,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Philadelphia Phillies49c2,131$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04034756.5%196 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Philadelphia Phillies49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006749.3%33 W · 34 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Philadelphia Phillies39c2,000$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.971,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Toronto Blue Jays53c1,872$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$880.071,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Toronto Blue Jays52c1,799$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.4986548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies25c1,750$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.014,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies47c1,427$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.0411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Philadelphia Phillies35c1,359$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Toronto Blue Jays50c1,078$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.221,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Toronto Blue Jays50c1,024$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5122,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Philadelphia Phillies47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4701050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies46c976.71$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.295,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Toronto Blue Jays52c934.65$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.631,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66c6…53e2backed Philadelphia Phillies50c828.05$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Toronto Blue Jays51c800.35$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.1827952%145 W · 134 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Toronto Blue Jays52c800$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38428753.3%153 W · 134 L+10.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d44…a304backed Philadelphia Phillies46c566$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Toronto Blue Jays51c559.25$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.672,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Toronto Blue Jays50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Philadelphia Phillies47c452.44$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6587750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3832…1527backed Philadelphia Phillies49c428$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies24c420.86$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.88,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Philadelphia Phillies49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20029344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Toronto Blue Jays51c390$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.11,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Toronto Blue Jays72c316$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.515,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Philadelphia Phillies49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14758652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Philadelphia Phillies29c247.04$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.231844%140 W · 178 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Toronto Blue Jays50c245.34$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0965549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Toronto Blue Jays52c240.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.381,03851.7%537 W · 501 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Toronto Blue Jays52c240.38$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3840447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Philadelphia Phillies48c229.18$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Philadelphia Phillies50c195.44$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7228749.5%142 W · 145 L-10.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Philadelphia Phillies14c169.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.962,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Philadelphia Phillies27c168.63$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.5355758%323 W · 234 L+24.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Toronto Blue Jays50c159$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.57833.3%26 W · 52 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6b5…2a6cbacked Philadelphia Phillies48c154.62$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.221127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-46.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Philadelphia Phillies28c133.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.85,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Toronto Blue Jays51c133$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1773653%390 W · 346 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x811a…9a3cbacked Toronto Blue Jays52c119.42$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.821752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Toronto Blue Jays50c118.41$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6213345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7414…725abacked Philadelphia Phillies50c116.87$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdade…9a13backed Philadelphia Phillies50c116.85$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd091…ae68backed Philadelphia Phillies50c116.84$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…1d83backed Philadelphia Phillies50c116.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2967…1f8cbacked Philadelphia Phillies50c116.63$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcaa…7c13backed Philadelphia Phillies50c116.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37dc…e493backed Philadelphia Phillies50c116.28$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbc3…c5b0backed Philadelphia Phillies50c116.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a07…3ec0backed Philadelphia Phillies50c116.03$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f50…33d2backed Philadelphia Phillies50c115.96$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcea…4b5ebacked Philadelphia Phillies50c115.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3014…46b6backed Philadelphia Phillies50c115.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b1…2b37backed Philadelphia Phillies50c115.69$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fa2…5c81backed Philadelphia Phillies50c115.34$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f1…cf86backed Philadelphia Phillies50c115.31$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa2…17e1backed Philadelphia Phillies50c115.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f3…190ebacked Philadelphia Phillies50c115.19$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee30…71f0backed Philadelphia Phillies50c115.13$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71fc…06cdbacked Philadelphia Phillies50c114.99$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbc4…236cbacked Philadelphia Phillies50c114.31$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6583…2b56backed Philadelphia Phillies50c114.29$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7955…c2c3backed Philadelphia Phillies50c114.17$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75e4…2e19backed Philadelphia Phillies50c114.06$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ff8…df85backed Philadelphia Phillies50c113.91$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ae…6f19backed Philadelphia Phillies50c113.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7cf…9202backed Philadelphia Phillies50c113.58$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ca…5239backed Philadelphia Phillies50c113.09$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfc4…105cbacked Philadelphia Phillies50c112.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5a…874cbacked Philadelphia Phillies50c112.41$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d2…7458backed Philadelphia Phillies50c112.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd37…4c94backed Philadelphia Phillies50c112.37$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eba…c216backed Philadelphia Phillies50c112.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…bf59backed Philadelphia Phillies50c112.02$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5714…6a04backed Philadelphia Phillies50c111.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce66…ed0bbacked Philadelphia Phillies50c111.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ece…3275backed Philadelphia Phillies50c111.64$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf979…b76fbacked Philadelphia Phillies50c111.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9788…f3dcbacked Philadelphia Phillies50c111.38$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…5e25backed Philadelphia Phillies50c111.34$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2f…632cbacked Philadelphia Phillies50c111.13$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbecc…8e1bbacked Philadelphia Phillies50c111.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06de…8938backed Philadelphia Phillies50c111.09$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd56a…8bf7backed Philadelphia Phillies50c110.6$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28ab…ff58backed Philadelphia Phillies50c110.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c68…ce12backed Philadelphia Phillies50c110.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd18…cf50backed Philadelphia Phillies50c110.07$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1644…4097backed Philadelphia Phillies50c109.68$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3984…7ea2backed Philadelphia Phillies50c109.54$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa01d…dfa5backed Philadelphia Phillies50c109.28$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5a…c879backed Philadelphia Phillies50c108.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9339…8ceabacked Philadelphia Phillies50c108.82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83d…b072backed Philadelphia Phillies50c108.7$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.