Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa40f7511ccebbd72d8f90ccd9916a7a39023d1db436a1c3520de35586718d77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 6,142$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,304.07 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 55c | 5,993$3,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.97 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 36c | 5,685$2,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030.57 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 1,915$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.03 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 1,230$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 46c | 1,135$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 59c | 1,057$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.33 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 70c | 1,053$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.78 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 989.1$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.16 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Over | 29c | 855.95$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.28 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 69c | 725.39$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…92d2backed Under | 72c | 708.26$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.31 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 77cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 80c | 525.4$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…fa78backed Under | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 55c | 237.55$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 32c | 213.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 78c | 192.22$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 78c | 169.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.57 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 50c | 161.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.6wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 24c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 51c | 136.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Under | 75c | 132.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 69c | 131.25$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 70c | 126.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Over | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 27c | 104.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Under | 75c | 103.51$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf98…0924backed Under | 58c | 102.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +40%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc39…398abacked Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 35c | 96.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 54c | 92.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 47c | 91.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 74c | 90.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 45c | 86.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 28c | 82.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 70c | 79.93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Over | 44c | 78.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 31c | 75.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 26c | 73.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 31c | 70.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 70c | 69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 45c | 66.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Under | 66c | 57.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 28c | 56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 72c | 54.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 46c | 52.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 77c | 46.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 72c | 45.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 44c | 45.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Over | 54c | 44.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 44.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 45c | 43.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed Over | 45c | 41.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 73c | 41.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 70c | 40.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 54c | 35.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 73c | 35.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 34.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 74c | 33.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 59c | 30.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…8df4backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 45c | 25.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 72c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Under | 70c | 21.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…eca2backed Over | 50c | 20.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 69c | 20.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9707…6fbdbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 71c | 18.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 70c | 15.79$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 77c | 15.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.