TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34a1…7622backed Under24c31,821$7,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,631.0112139.7%48 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under52c12,500$6,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,47513855.8%77 W · 61 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over68c12,426$8,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,988.531,61736.3%587 W · 1,030 L-34.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over64c11,025$7,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,926.882542.4%350 W · 475 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over75c5,338$4,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.122,49942.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L+52.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Under54c5,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.911050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+20.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x583e…a2a6backed Over49c4,500$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,299.981050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under4c4,392$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.934330.2%13 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7dc…21b9backed Over48c3,300$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7161450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Over48c2,476$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.71650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4907…f72abacked Over49c2,139$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.86560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under48c2,021$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.765846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d4…23e8backed Under47c1,738$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.72236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under4c1,665$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.272045%9 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under6c1,562$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.828743.7%38 W · 49 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+52.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked Over48c1,555$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under2c1,521$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-55.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d6…730abacked Over58c1,364$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.173100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over79c1,238$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.512,39737.8%905 W · 1,492 L-3.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Over48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6247837.2%29 W · 49 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed Under46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001225%3 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under41c1,016$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.962,46740.3%993 W · 1,474 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under50c1,003$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006238.7%24 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8762…0d85backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-39.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5105152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea03…040ebacked Over47c948.94$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.94450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over66c788.14$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7770842.5%301 W · 407 L-26.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under51c729.74$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.1739549.9%197 W · 198 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30017147.4%81 W · 90 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over49c544.21$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.5516647.6%79 W · 87 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under3c533.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172339.1%9 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick22cpaid+104.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under48c520.68$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.6319261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bd…6dddbacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over59c487.56$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.1387645.1%395 W · 481 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under45c465.39$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4437153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under46c465.28$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.2725155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under49c460.1$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.2723761.6%146 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under49c443.88$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.097855.1%43 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39e7…ceedbacked Over48c416.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.821250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under10c409.82$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2319340.9%79 W · 114 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under52c400$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20815354.9%84 W · 69 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under53c377.49$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20024654.1%133 W · 113 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Under52c375$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c356.46$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.225,91046.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L+50.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under48c353.54$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.3823660.2%142 W · 94 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc096…9e8dbacked Under62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x278f…ef30backed Under51c304.47$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.283551.4%18 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Under42c297.8$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.0821144.5%94 W · 117 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under49c290.11$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9918955%104 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under37c277.28$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.591637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…a8e0backed Under30c270$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over49c264.71$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.9638749.6%192 W · 195 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under50c255.92$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.961,43435.2%505 W · 929 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under40c235$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0520238.6%78 W · 124 L-14.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-24.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Over49c220$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.220138.3%77 W · 124 L-1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Over49c216$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.1610039%39 W · 61 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-18%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under49c208.82$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.8931359.7%187 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb428…74c8backed Under52c200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10311839.8%47 W · 71 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bf…805cbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…d35bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under13c190$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.539339.8%37 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+50.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Over60c182.76$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.914748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda34…b1debacked Under7c180.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.02757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked Under34c180.03$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.218953.9%48 W · 41 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1985…51abbacked Over52c176.44$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.34772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.6wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+56.4%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446950.7%35 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e66…6d36backed Over49c163.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.271040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Under44c139.54$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.34753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Under45c136.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.829545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over65c129.44$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7720651.5%106 W · 100 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under53c126.72$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.168440.5%34 W · 50 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2512074.2%89 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over65c118.78$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.3258243%250 W · 332 L-26.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Under46c118.04$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.562454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under52c117.1$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8947155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Under48c108.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.727973.4%58 W · 21 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under42c107.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.176850%34 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4aa…0904backed Over48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.171560%9 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under55c100.45$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.962356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Over48c100.35$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3535751%182 W · 175 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa354…22ebbacked Over75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9287…0098backed Over72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+333.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a36…79d3backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528655.8%48 W · 38 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4226052.7%137 W · 123 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under44c95.4$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.521942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Over47c87.12$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.173756.8%21 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3594…6533backed Under46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Under42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3513051.5%67 W · 63 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1010…d793backed Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4014752.4%77 W · 70 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under52c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.616155.9%90 W · 71 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Over45c79.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.597338.4%28 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2965…0dedbacked Over50c76.96$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.65812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-74.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Under42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305844.8%26 W · 32 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+22%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over60c69.39$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5820769.6%144 W · 63 L+31.9wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+34.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under50c69.22$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.366349.2%31 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over50c68.89$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.459246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over74c68.71$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7443452.1%226 W · 208 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.