Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3afdfcb1f5499054e5d64f2ac0f31b91ab3f04d1f4fa81ec7d99d5ce8224666b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $119,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 24c | 31,821$7,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,631.01 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 52c | 12,500$6,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,475 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 68c | 12,426$8,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,988.53 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 64c | 11,025$7,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,926.8 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 75c | 5,338$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.12 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b56…715ebacked Under | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,699.91 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Over | 49c | 4,500$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 4c | 4,392$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.93 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Over | 48c | 3,300$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 48c | 2,476$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4907…f72abacked Over | 49c | 2,139$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 48c | 2,021$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.76 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 47c | 1,738$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.7 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Under | 4c | 1,665$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 6c | 1,562$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked Over | 48c | 1,555$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under | 2c | 1,521$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Over | 58c | 1,364$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 79c | 1,238$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 41c | 1,016$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.96 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 50c | 1,003$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…040ebacked Over | 47c | 948.94$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 66c | 788.14$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.77 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 51c | 729.74$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.17 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 171 | 47.4%81 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Over | 49c | 544.21$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.55 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 3c | 533.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.17per pick | 22cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 48c | 520.68$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.63 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Under | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 59c | 487.56$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.13 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 465.39$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 46c | 465.28$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.27 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 49c | 460.1$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.27 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 49c | 443.88$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.09 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…ceedbacked Over | 48c | 416.96$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 10c | 409.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 153 | 54.9%84 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 53c | 377.49$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Under | 52c | 375$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 356.46$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.22 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 48c | 353.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed Under | 51c | 304.47$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.28 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 42c | 297.8$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.08 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 49c | 290.11$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 37c | 277.28$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 30c | 270$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 264.71$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.96 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 50c | 255.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 40c | 235$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Over | 49c | 220$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 49c | 216$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 49c | 208.82$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 52c | 200$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…805cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 13c | 190$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 60c | 182.76$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…b1debacked Under | 7c | 180.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked Under | 34c | 180.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked Over | 52c | 176.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +10.6wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…6d36backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Under | 44c | 139.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 45c | 136.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 65c | 129.44$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 206 | 51.5%106 W · 100 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 53c | 126.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 65c | 118.78$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 46c | 118.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 52c | 117.1$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.89 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 48c | 108.93$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…0904backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe707…e0cfbacked Under | 55c | 100.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 100.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…22ebbacked Over | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…0098backed Over | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +333.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…7c68backed Under | 44c | 95.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 47c | 87.12$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…6533backed Under | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 42c | 83.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 45c | 79.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Over | 50c | 76.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 60c | 69.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 50c | 69.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 68.89$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.45 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 74c | 68.71$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.