TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,157
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,469

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,157 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c977.99$576 inWon+$401.775,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba57…1e84backed Over39c499.97$195 inLost-$194.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+54.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa249…08b6backed Under14c305.43$42 inWon+$263.281643.8%7 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick25cpaid+153.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x15ac…f3babacked Over57c243.58$139 inLost-$139.54652.2%24 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under43c243.58$104 inWon+$139.54528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under69c118$81 inWon+$36.5813666.2%90 W · 46 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over23c108.7$25 inLost-$251050%5 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+346.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a95…2b65backed Under78c102.52$80 inWon+$22.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bf…b8e1backed Over44c90.88$40 inLost-$39.991330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over20c85$17 inLost-$1711433.3%38 W · 76 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under18c60.98$11 inWon+$509145.1%41 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+51%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over38c53.37$20 inLost-$20.284540%18 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over38c40$15 inLost-$15.242625.8%110 W · 316 L-33.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf98…0924backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon+$15.712263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+40%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under59c34.31$20 inWon+$14.0525155.8%140 W · 111 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Under65c30.78$20 inWon+$10.7419261.5%118 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under65c30.09$20 inWon+$10.4923859.7%142 W · 96 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf1e…5d54backed Over66c29.41$19 inLost-$19.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Under67c25.8$17 inWon+$8.5624061.7%148 W · 92 L+17.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under78c25$20 inWon+$5.41,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under60c19.74$12 inWon+$7.9237153.9%200 W · 171 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x460c…b5b5backed Under61c19.17$12 inWon+$7.557973.4%58 W · 21 L+11.6wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+24.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.