Asian League · resolved market
Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeab785311e9bdfd9649efb3c218a7f7c6012eab2b23b4df723dc2fa135b0e0a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Yes | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,699.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 7,719$5,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.29 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 62c | 7,588$4,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.69 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 21c | 4,300$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 40c | 2,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.97 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 52c | 1,433$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.26 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8d…01debacked Yes | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 560.48$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.37 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed No | 77c | 208.37$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 59c | 192.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 63c | 173.77$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 61c | 135.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.05 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 59c | 121$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 63c | 117.27$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.94 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 112$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 40c | 109.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 62c | 89.31$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 64c | 87.37$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Yes | 23c | 86.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 63c | 86$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 60c | 81.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 60c | 79.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23bf…805cbacked No | 38c | 67.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 62c | 66.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 58c | 59.8$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 64c | 57.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 26c | 53.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 42c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 30c | 49.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 41c | 47.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +44%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 41c | 46.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 37c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 41c | 42.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 59c | 40.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x179d…74d3backed Yes | 40c | 38.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 80c | 38.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 59c | 34.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 30c | 34.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 66c | 33.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…dc22backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…f440backed Yes | 39c | 31.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 38c | 29.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Yes | 63c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed No | 65c | 23.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 60c | 21.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 59c | 19.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed No | 79c | 18.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 78c | 12.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.