Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0595bcb28f6e6c6365a1a29674604887e4c8c5576fdbd5b3f714822c01a53adc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Guoan FCof Beijing Guoan FC, Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Beijing Guoan FC | 61c | 3,209$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.5 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 48c | 2,802$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,333.4 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…d371backed Beijing Guoan FC | 42c | 2,097$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Beijing Guoan FC | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 19c | 1,991$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.58 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 22c | 1,907$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.98 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Guoan FC | 79c | 1,733$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.89 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.06 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 55c | 684.7$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.23 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Beijing Guoan FC | 45c | 600.63$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.27 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 55c | 508.46$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 19c | 473.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 52c | 384.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.74 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 50c | 263.57$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.79 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Beijing Guoan FC | 52c | 239$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 270 | 37%100 W · 170 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 38c | 168.79$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 54c | 105.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 52c | 99.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 29c | 99.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 55c | 97.16$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 96.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ff…025fbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 96.22$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Guoan FC | 71c | 89.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7208…0f10backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 51c | 88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 56c | 85.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 32c | 83.2$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Beijing Guoan FC | 48c | 82.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.73 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Beijing Guoan FC | 77c | 73.9$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Beijing Guoan FC | 53c | 72.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f57…f8c5backed Beijing Guoan FC | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 51c | 56.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 56c | 47.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Beijing Guoan FC | 77c | 47.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 22c | 46.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Beijing Guoan FC | 77c | 45.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 55c | 43.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x270d…2919backed Beijing Guoan FC | 77c | 42.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Beijing Guoan FC | 75c | 42.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Beijing Guoan FC | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Beijing Guoan FC | 47c | 35.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 202 | 56.4%114 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 32.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 55c | 32.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 36c | 29.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Beijing Guoan FC | 47c | 28.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 45c | 26.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Beijing Guoan FC | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC | 55c | 18.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 77c | 15.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Beijing Guoan FC | 77c | 15.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
- Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.