Tennis · resolved market
Hagen: Lorenzo Giustino vs Jerome Kym
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33d1d508f874588e18f343a4535d0fa5193067d8f7602c6803cbc7eb1bcf4181
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jerome Kymof Lorenzo Giustino, Jerome Kym
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $170,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,362
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 12c | 100,020$11,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,703.4 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Lorenzo Giustino | 21c | 14,286$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Lorenzo Giustino | 15c | 3,327$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.01 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Lorenzo Giustino | 8c | 2,136$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.83 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Jerome Kym | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Lorenzo Giustino | 5c | 1,206$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Lorenzo Giustino | 8c | 1,190$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…7242backed Lorenzo Giustino | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93d…fc9bbacked Jerome Kym | 74c | 884.09$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.86 | 223 | 52%116 W · 107 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 25c | 800.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lorenzo Giustino | 13c | 754$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.42 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 24c | 750$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7596…f13abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 26c | 653.85$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Lorenzo Giustino | 14c | 639.02$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Lorenzo Giustino | 19c | 597.13$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.8 | 464 | 53%246 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 24c | 521.21$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedde…5db2backed Lorenzo Giustino | 20c | 476.19$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Lorenzo Giustino | 6c | 451.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1adc…b884backed Lorenzo Giustino | 11c | 436.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dca…da77backed Jerome Kym | 77c | 424.04$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 162 | 57.4%93 W · 69 L | +13.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…5ad1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…2482backed Lorenzo Giustino | 24c | 397.54$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 94 | 33%31 W · 63 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Lorenzo Giustino | 10c | 359.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…5369backed Lorenzo Giustino | 26c | 338.77$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.08 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Lorenzo Giustino | 8c | 261.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Lorenzo Giustino | 10c | 240$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…757abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 26c | 234.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Jerome Kym | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945c…369cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 13c | 194.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 23c | 190$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lorenzo Giustino | 12c | 179.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5251…be02backed Lorenzo Giustino | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Jerome Kym | 79c | 139.48$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 375 | 47.2%177 W · 198 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…44d6backed Jerome Kym | 74c | 129.08$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 22c | 120.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Lorenzo Giustino | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Jerome Kym | 77c | 111.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f3…b21cbacked Jerome Kym | 74c | 107.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Lorenzo Giustino | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Lorenzo Giustino | 16c | 101.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 24c | 89$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…b1b1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 18c | 71.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 507 | 36.1%183 W · 324 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fae…8f07backed Lorenzo Giustino | 14c | 71.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 14c | 71.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Jerome Kym | 79c | 62.35$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Jerome Kym | 78c | 54.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160c…473ebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 22c | 51.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 447 | 51.7%231 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Lorenzo Giustino | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Jerome Kym | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…2639backed Jerome Kym | 80c | 30.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Jerome Kym | 78c | 25.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Jerome Kym | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Jerome Kym | 78c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf091…4a1dbacked Jerome Kym | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.