MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bab72afaf2b2a2d9defcc695ac5490e588d450df1533a297c4f9c69c641866a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof Baltimore Orioles, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $282,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 26,293$17,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,130.7 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 22,641$11,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,773.31 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 16,560$8,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,445.77 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 15,871$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,094.43 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 15,094$7,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,497.7 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 12,236$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,072.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.98 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3050…1a35backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 8,800$4,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,143.25 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 7,905$4,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185.86 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 7,500$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 6,942$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,850.38 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 5,344$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.24 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 4,454$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.01 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 4,369$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 4,340$2,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.38 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 4,167$2,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.34 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.39 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 3,204$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.61 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 24c | 3,200$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.69 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 3,125$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.25 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,974$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.7 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 2,595$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 2,030$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.14 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Baltimore Orioles | 35c | 1,819$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.47 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 1,732$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.24 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 1,435$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.95 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 71c | 1,379$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.94 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 1,246$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.89 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 1,225$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.48 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 1,210$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.81 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 1,140$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.19 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 1,106$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.52 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +26.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,061$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.72 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 1,052$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.18 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,024$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.48 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 1,017$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.8 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Cincinnati Reds | 73c | 976.17$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.42 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Baltimore Orioles | 38c | 915.19$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.66 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 875.13$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.14 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Baltimore Orioles | 28c | 799.99$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 660$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 649.99$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.3 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 634.61$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 619.75$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 607.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 606.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.85 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 65c | 604.7$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 603$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.81 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 509.31$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 499.93$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.97 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cincinnati Reds | 64c | 499.81$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.2 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 497.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.44 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccc…77abbacked Cincinnati Reds | 72c | 494.44$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 442.96$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.86 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 427.12$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 408.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.4 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 406.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.76 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 390$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 381.4$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.98 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Baltimore Orioles | 14c | 334.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 329.47$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.67 | 529 | 55.6%294 W · 235 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 312$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.88 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 31c | 309.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 162 | 53.1%86 W · 76 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Baltimore Orioles | 29c | 294.12$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.29 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 289.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.43 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad54…006abacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 288.45$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 580 | 60.5%351 W · 229 L | +30.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 12c | 275$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 263.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 256.83$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.57 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Baltimore Orioles | 32c | 251.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…a814backed Baltimore Orioles | 23c | 205.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 197$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.53 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 196.15$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…cce4backed Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 195.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Baltimore Orioles | 34c | 195$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 164$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 163$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Baltimore Orioles | 53c | 152.09$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 149.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 52c | 146.15$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 145.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…404dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 143.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 476 | 46.2%220 W · 256 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 126.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 150 | 79.3%119 W · 31 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 5.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.