MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00cb155d600f0f7641bfb677a564ba842fa76017075486b6ddc558e66a5d7d5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Seattle Marinersof Seattle Mariners, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,575,199
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,664,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,575,199 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 594 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0b7…5441backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 269,057$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.27 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 183,620$86,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86,301.37 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 177,115$94,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,662.93 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 120,000$61,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,800 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 110,617$54,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,096.02 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 76,604$36,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,260.99 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 66,038$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,037.74 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 60,000$28,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,199.99 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 49,494$25,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,756.95 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 39c | 44,230$17,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,377.17 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 37,736$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,735.85 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Seattle Mariners | 60c | 36,414$21,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,667.98 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 26,126$13,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,288.52 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 20,236$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 20,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 65c | 14,946$9,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,191.23 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 14,079$7,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,898.58 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 13,801$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,486.47 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 12,800$6,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,016 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 12,049$5,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,859.86 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 74c | 11,859$8,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,025.14 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 10,792$5,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,506.26 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 10,131$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,782.28 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 9,708$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,708.84 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Baltimore Orioles | 55c | 9,091$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…c66cbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 8,866$4,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,522.33 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 8,226$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,154.19 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 8,179$4,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.56 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 7,619$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.05 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 7,473$1,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.65 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 6,926$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,954.96 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 6,529$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.97 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.56 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…b403backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 5,529$3,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,487.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 5,434$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,519.07 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 33c | 4,149$1,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.5 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,986$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.38 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 3,937$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.74 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 25c | 3,797$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.22 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 3,468$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.67 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,365$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.2 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Seattle Mariners | 62c | 3,347$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.91 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…fe20backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 3,334$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,027.65 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 3,318$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.82 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Seattle Mariners | 47c | 3,223$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.13 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Seattle Mariners | 66c | 3,171$2,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 3,012$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.85 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd162…0d24backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,879$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Baltimore Orioles | 11c | 2,723$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,665$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,600$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,244.54 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,590$1,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,460$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Baltimore Orioles | 20c | 2,418$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.41 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,190$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.29 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Seattle Mariners | 64c | 2,169$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.04 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 2,129$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.14 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 2,086$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.9 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e86…cb8fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 2,058$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.68 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,915$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.05 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,862$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.8 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Baltimore Orioles | 30c | 1,765$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.6 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…775fbacked Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,735$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 1,640$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.6 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,460$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.99 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,457$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.33 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,364$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.63 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,357$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.88 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,340$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.69 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.75 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,318$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.24 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Seattle Mariners | 69c | 1,293$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.48 | 717 | 50.1%359 W · 358 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 1,267$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.65 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 58c | 1,266$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbc…f7edbacked Seattle Mariners | 57c | 1,161$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 70c | 1,126$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.99 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Seattle Mariners | 64c | 1,007$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.62 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,001$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba91…e999backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…955abacked Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 990$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 960.97$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.8 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 937.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Seattle Mariners | 73c | 930.66$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.23 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…3447backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 917.97$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Baltimore Orioles | 26c | 913.2$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.26 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 908.88$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.04 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Baltimore Orioles | 50c | 899.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Seattle Mariners | 51c | 860.95$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.06 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa939…933cbacked Seattle Mariners | 53c | 850$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 846$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.28 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf74c…434cbacked Seattle Mariners | 78c | 841.17$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.