MLB · resolved market

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe45c3ad4234c818c3c78c6c7c89bdaaf01c334f8c7626bbf6380bc4400675e00

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $18,054
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $19,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,054 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Under	49c	4,256$2,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,082.31	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8ca…cccbbacked Under	1c	3,851$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.51	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over	50c	2,662$1,322 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,339.63	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under	68c	1,053$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.12	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over	39c	947.93$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.8	878	50.5%443 W · 435 L	+12.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over	33c	606.06$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.06	70	37.1%26 W · 44 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	61c	594.22$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.5	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	33c	328.51$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$219.8	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under	41c	328.42$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.54	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Over	21c	324.41$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.56	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Over	21c	316.88$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250.88	2,172	39.9%866 W · 1,306 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over	37c	315.89$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$199.83	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under	67c	298.51$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	68	54.4%37 W · 31 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Under	36c	275.26$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.12	795	55.6%442 W · 353 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd208…2751backed Over	41c	274.38$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.88	174	46%80 W · 94 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Over	51c	242$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.58	1,119	45.5%509 W · 610 L	+16.9wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f55…8956backed Over	52c	185.75$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.16	148	58.8%87 W · 61 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	66c	184.77$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.81	5,812	43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L	-188.1wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under	36c	164.41$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	475	49.7%236 W · 239 L	+17.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under	36c	142.49$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	549	51.2%281 W · 268 L	+29.7wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb77…4e6bbacked Over	24c	123$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.48	53	28.3%15 W · 38 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b43…0714backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.24per pick	51cpaid	-43.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	65c	99$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.73	2,546	45.9%1,168 W · 1,378 L	-74.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under	66c	81.79$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.93	89	50.6%45 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	21c	77.68$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.04	3,460	51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L	+107.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Under	36c	76.25$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.45	1,737	49.1%852 W · 885 L	+7.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	58c	70.19$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.56	3,219	51.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L	+148.2wins	+0.05per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d83…3ceabacked Under	65c	62.48$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.61	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	69cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0b…62cdbacked Over	34c	58.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	799	43.2%345 W · 454 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	61c	56.54$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.65	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Over	38c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31	112	56.3%63 W · 49 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38f9…0bffbacked Under	65c	46$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.9	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	66cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	66c	43.82$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.92	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5407…5bbdbacked Over	35c	40.32$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.32	778	36%280 W · 498 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Over	52c	37.71$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.1	475	52.4%249 W · 226 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4324…174bbacked Under	65c	36.2$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.53	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63b3…8623backed Under	65c	34.7$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.56	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.30per pick	67cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb34c…e5bebacked Under	65c	34.21$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.24	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce8f…44c4backed Under	65c	34.1$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.17	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	61cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Under	42c	33.5$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.07	997	44.1%440 W · 557 L	-38.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc3…d59bbacked Under	65c	33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xac26…005fbacked Under	65c	33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.45	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d41…581fbacked Under	65c	32.6$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	59cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6783…73f9backed Under	65c	32.6$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.19	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	67cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4629…35e2backed Under	65c	32.2$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.93	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf723…7835backed Under	65c	32.1$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.87	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0762…e8c1backed Under	65c	32$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe998…ac26backed Under	65c	31.7$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.61	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.7wins	-0.38per pick	67cpaid	-60%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x570a…fe3ebacked Under	65c	31.6$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.54	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x291e…2421backed Under	65c	31.6$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.54	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	68cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd954…5982backed Under	65c	31.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.47	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.24per pick	67cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x960a…42f1backed Under	65c	31.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.41	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfb…3640backed Under	65c	31.3$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.37per pick	70cpaid	-55%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x65cf…5206backed Under	65c	31.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.28	20	70%14 W · 6 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	62cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc20…dc0bbacked Under	65c	30.9$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.09	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.7wins	+0.13per pick	64cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cf…7a0bbacked Under	65c	30.79$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c4d…a945backed Under	65c	30.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.96	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	61cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90bd…cc0abacked Under	65c	30.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	15	60%9 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdca7…0720backed Under	65c	30.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.89	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8bcc…806ebacked Under	65c	30.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05b4…bb36backed Under	65c	30.51$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.83	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	62cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e7f…7fbcbacked Under	65c	30.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.17per pick	67cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a6…f5d9backed Under	65c	30.49$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-3.2wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa42d…4d66backed Under	65c	30.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.75	19	57.9%11 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe20b…6b74backed Under	65c	30.19$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	68cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Under	66c	30$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.8	209	62.7%131 W · 78 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	65cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7180…aa45backed Under	65c	29.91$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe338…1a36backed Under	65c	29.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.41per pick	61cpaid	-63.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fbc…fc9cbacked Under	65c	29.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.44	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.7wins	-0.38per pick	67cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x812e…2fbabacked Under	65c	29.71$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.31	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	62cpaid	-34%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x012f…6d43backed Under	67c	29.71$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.91	69	46.4%32 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+35.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc52…5bd3backed Under	65c	29.6$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	66cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8c8…ccffbacked Under	65c	29.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.18	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	65cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2fd…8914backed Under	65c	29.29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.04	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4d1…760bbacked Under	65c	29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-2.2wins	-0.44per pick	64cpaid	-74%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14b5…43f1backed Under	65c	28.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	64cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f2…f2c6backed Under	65c	28.9$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.79	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	68cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec81…c2f4backed Under	65c	28.89$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.78	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	69cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e1e…02acbacked Under	65c	28.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.72	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.46per pick	71cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c8e…4e21backed Under	65c	28.79$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.71	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.18per pick	68cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…2ef8backed Under	65c	28.6$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.59	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.9wins	-0.63per pick	63cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x14c7…b0c6backed Under	65c	28.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.53	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	69cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1c6…6a00backed Under	65c	28.5$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.53	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.32per pick	66cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb351…d62abacked Under	65c	28.49$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.52	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	64cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xced2…3de4backed Under	65c	28.4$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.3wins	-0.64per pick	64cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x407b…bba5backed Under	65c	28.2$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	63cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87f6…6152backed Under	65c	28.1$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.69per pick	69cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40aa…b99bbacked Under	65c	27.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.19	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	69cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f1…adc3backed Under	65c	27.89$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.13	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b00…64a2backed Under	65c	27.8$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.07	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e75…aaa9backed Under	65c	27.8$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.2wins	-0.58per pick	57cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17c5…fbe1backed Under	65c	27.7$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.01	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	67cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf3…7b13backed Under	65c	27.7$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.01	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	70cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a04…ae3cbacked Under	65c	27.69$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb16e…cff4backed Under	65c	27.6$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-3.2wins	-0.53per pick	69cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf555…e73abacked Under	65c	27.5$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe282…4681backed Under	65c	27.2$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.68	10	60%6 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	66cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ccb…d817backed Under	65c	26.9$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.49	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-2.1wins	-0.35per pick	69cpaid	-51.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdcb0…f977backed Under	65c	26.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.23	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	59cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf354…5645backed Under	65c	26.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.23	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5this page
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesSeattle Mariners won
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event