MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf734cf964fcdca7e22b31d93157c22ceb9f3d87608a9e36c45148e01f36efaed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 75,919$38,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,502 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 42,289$20,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,236.55 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Under | 50c | 35,957$17,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,978.5 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 50c | 20,548$10,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,275.58 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 15,750$7,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,875 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 53c | 15,000$7,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,071.96 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 56c | 10,491$5,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,616.01 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Under | 49c | 7,195$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 49c | 6,021$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.38 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 51c | 5,844$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.55 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 28c | 5,285$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.05 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 5,153$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,713.5 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37d3…709abacked Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 3,993$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,916.63 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Under | 48c | 3,050$1,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.82 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Over | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 44c | 2,865$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.93 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 2,631$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.18 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Under | 45c | 2,224$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 52c | 1,985$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.2 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 34c | 1,756$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.98 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 53c | 1,753$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.94 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 33c | 1,727$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.27 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 1,627$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.07 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 36c | 1,583$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.09 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 52c | 1,419$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.91 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 36c | 1,363$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.6 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 36c | 1,165$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.83 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.71 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Under | 47c | 1,068$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Over | 51c | 980.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.66 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 46c | 921.34$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.17 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 47c | 745$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.15 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 36c | 545.36$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.03 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 47c | 422.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 37c | 418.44$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.62 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 36c | 388.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.66 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 36c | 388.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.64 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…13aebacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -6.2wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Under | 50c | 359.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.77 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 45c | 327$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.42 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 59c | 322.7$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.31 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Over | 52c | 266.35$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.85 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 36c | 236.11$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.11 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Over | 57c | 236$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 50c | 205$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd6…3806backed Over | 27c | 200.91$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 177 | 52.5%93 W · 84 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcb…50fcbacked Over | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Over | 29c | 187$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 42c | 182.81$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.62 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 39c | 146.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.15 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 61c | 138$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 46c | 126.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 56c | 118$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.97 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 113.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 48c | 102.55$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Under | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 99.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.49 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 93.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7472…c267backed Under | 56c | 91.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.48 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 48c | 90.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 314 | 49.4%155 W · 159 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 87.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Over | 34c | 87.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 36c | 79.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf610…741cbacked Over | 36c | 77.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 253 | 57.3%145 W · 108 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 36c | 75.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 276 | 46.7%129 W · 147 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 40c | 68.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Under | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33d2…9ac2backed Under | 51c | 66.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda54…b8a1backed Over | 29c | 63.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 49c | 61.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 49c | 60.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 49c | 59.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…eab5backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348c…c8efbacked Under | 49c | 57.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 68c | 56.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Over | 52c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 52.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3894…decfbacked Over | 30c | 50.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 375 | 51.2%192 W · 183 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 116 | 62.9%73 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f3…e1eebacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 49.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Over | 53c | 46.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Over | 28c | 46.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e80…416dbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5this page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesSeattle Mariners won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Seattle Mariners won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.