Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84ceac327b0b2a76ced4315420c9f1ad695512b456c6ee565f134fc82384ffc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taylor Fritzof Taylor Fritz, Alexander Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,945,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,033,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,945,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 512 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 463,581$154,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154,566.5 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Taylor Fritz | 68c | 391,660$267,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,314.62 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5fa…62dfbacked Taylor Fritz | 67c | 136,540$92,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,457.93 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x928b…ccf4backed Alexander Bublik | 31c | 121,506$37,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,666.94 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Alexander Bublik | 43c | 114,413$49,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,000 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Alexander Bublik | 26c | 78,722$20,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,456.75 | 756 | 40.1%303 W · 453 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Taylor Fritz | 67c | 64,728$43,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,528.14 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 58,776$19,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,357.31 | 566 | 51.8%293 W · 273 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Taylor Fritz | 69c | 56,966$39,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,659.47 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +9.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc15b…38afbacked Taylor Fritz | 67c | 55,844$37,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,257.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 50,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Taylor Fritz | 69c | 40,000$27,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -66%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Taylor Fritz | 71c | 39,305$28,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,246.14 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 36,196$24,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,073.64 | 2,326 | 52.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L | +85.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Taylor Fritz | 64c | 35,393$22,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,614.41 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Taylor Fritz | 67c | 34,736$23,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,599.97 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 34,175$22,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,381.4 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…d341backed Alexander Bublik | 31c | 29,104$9,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,095.74 | 248 | 41.5%103 W · 145 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Taylor Fritz | 73c | 26,570$19,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,141.04 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alexander Bublik | 22c | 26,338$5,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,856.43 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Taylor Fritz | 69c | 25,530$17,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,032.74 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…45b5backed Taylor Fritz | 62c | 20,953$13,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,885.41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Alexander Bublik | 31c | 20,839$6,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,460 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Alexander Bublik | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 18,000$5,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,939.99 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Taylor Fritz | 67c | 14,925$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,925.37 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Taylor Fritz | 69c | 14,500$10,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,495 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Taylor Fritz | 66c | 13,851$9,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.38 | 392 | 49.7%195 W · 197 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 12,121$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 337 | 37.1%125 W · 212 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Alexander Bublik | 0c | 11,052$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Alexander Bublik | 27c | 10,900$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,974 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3233…a4ddbacked Alexander Bublik | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…c13abacked Alexander Bublik | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alexander Bublik | 42c | 9,309$3,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,933.54 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Taylor Fritz | 68c | 8,361$5,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.89 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9217…ce22backed Taylor Fritz | 59c | 7,653$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.06 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Taylor Fritz | 66c | 7,609$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,587.16 | 350 | 57.4%201 W · 149 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Taylor Fritz | 71c | 7,184$5,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.33 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…ca8cbacked Taylor Fritz | 69c | 7,101$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,201.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Taylor Fritz | 66c | 6,942$4,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,335.36 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…07c3backed Taylor Fritz | 70c | 6,772$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,031.71 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Alexander Bublik | 17c | 6,400$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 6,067$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.26 | 1,683 | 50.6%851 W · 832 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Alexander Bublik | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 167 | 37.1%62 W · 105 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Taylor Fritz | 67c | 5,821$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.9 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x531a…8257backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 5,574$3,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Alexander Bublik | 32c | 5,456$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.61 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Alexander Bublik | 34c | 5,173$1,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,758.94 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…e6a6backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 5,094$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.19 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Taylor Fritz | 67c | 4,893$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.26 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Alexander Bublik | 6c | 4,755$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.02 | 367 | 40.6%149 W · 218 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 4,615$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.59 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Alexander Bublik | 30c | 4,352$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.63 | 581 | 39.9%232 W · 349 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Taylor Fritz | 74c | 4,319$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.21 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 3,826$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.31 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 3,499$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.8 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Alexander Bublik | 44c | 3,383$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 720 | 40.8%294 W · 426 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Alexander Bublik | 32c | 3,176$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.19 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Alexander Bublik | 32c | 3,090$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.8 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Alexander Bublik | 12c | 3,046$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alexander Bublik | 32c | 3,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Taylor Fritz | 69c | 2,992$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917.14 | 631 | 44.1%278 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…d848backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 226 | 67.7%153 W · 73 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8c…e275backed Alexander Bublik | 34c | 2,959$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.91 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e32…31fdbacked Alexander Bublik | 34c | 2,868$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.01 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Alexander Bublik | 1c | 2,591$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Taylor Fritz | 67c | 2,491$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.44 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 2,417$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.75 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Alexander Bublik | 23c | 2,273$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Taylor Fritz | 72c | 2,240$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.68 | 2,839 | 47.2%1,340 W · 1,499 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…2dd7backed Alexander Bublik | 31c | 2,178$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.26 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Alexander Bublik | 32c | 2,139$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Taylor Fritz | 69c | 2,138$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.92 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Alexander Bublik | 24c | 2,083$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Taylor Fritz | 65c | 2,014$1,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.72 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Taylor Fritz | 65c | 2,010$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.4 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Alexander Bublik | 31c | 2,000$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.67 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 2,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…13a1backed Taylor Fritz | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 279 | 52.3%146 W · 133 L | -19.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Taylor Fritz | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 171 | 49.1%84 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 2,000$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Alexander Bublik | 33c | 2,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…f1c5backed Alexander Bublik | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Taylor Fritz | 63c | 1,898$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.63 | 613 | 41.8%256 W · 357 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alexander Bublik | 32c | 1,877$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Alexander Bublik | 32c | 1,875$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 650 | 40%260 W · 390 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Alexander Bublik | 32c | 1,794$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.22 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Taylor Fritz | 67c | 1,791$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.04 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Taylor Fritz | 67c | 1,791$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.04 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Taylor Fritz | 72c | 1,776$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.58 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc790…cbd2backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 1,762$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alexander Bublik | 51c | 1,730$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.3 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…5f53backed Alexander Bublik | 30c | 1,616$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb9…1d15backed Alexander Bublik | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…2302backed Taylor Fritz | 66c | 1,520$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Alexander Bublik | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.57 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba76…e0d7backed Taylor Fritz | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Alexander Bublik | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…9569backed Taylor Fritz | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Taylor Fritz | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.34 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikthis page
- Fritz vs. Bublik: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Bublik: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs BublikFritz won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs BublikFritz won
- Set 3 Winner: Fritz vs BublikFritz won
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5)Fritz won
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-2.5) vs Fritz (+2.5)Fritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)Fritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Bublik (+2.5)Fritz won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.