Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Bublik
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x533dde3f1184e053958312c8021beac71ecedb3b339730b35f7dda45f1ef272f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Fritz, Bublik
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,368
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,368 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd050…c915backed Bublik | 37c | 772.16$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.35 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Fritz | 58c | 764.78$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.21 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Fritz | 58c | 712.12$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.15 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3e…061cbacked Fritz | 65c | 656.92$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.92 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Bublik | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Bublik | 42c | 547.62$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fritz | 59c | 483.41$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…17c0backed Bublik | 43c | 469.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Fritz | 65c | 413.65$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.51 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Fritz | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.23 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bublik | 55c | 400$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.26 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Bublik | 42c | 351.55$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 390 | 46.4%181 W · 209 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fritz | 57c | 296.52$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.55 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Bublik | 41c | 219.51$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Bublik | 28c | 211.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fritz | 58c | 208.61$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fritz | 53c | 175.94$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Fritz | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bublik | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Fritz | 42c | 164.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.44 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef6…434abacked Fritz | 65c | 149.71$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Bublik | 38c | 149.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…b9ffbacked Bublik | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fritz | 42c | 138.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.44 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Bublik | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a37…ed8bbacked Bublik | 40c | 124.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Bublik | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Bublik | 43c | 117.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Bublik | 39c | 114.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed Fritz | 59c | 108.81$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -18.8wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…5a8ebacked Fritz | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Fritz | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Bublik | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682a…c87dbacked Fritz | 60c | 83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bublik | 40c | 83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Bublik | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…63c2backed Fritz | 62c | 76.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2b…0900backed Bublik | 44c | 68.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Bublik | 43c | 67.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Fritz | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Bublik | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Fritz | 57c | 58$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Fritz | 64c | 57.04$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bublik | 46c | 56.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Fritz | 59c | 51$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Bublik | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Bublik | 43c | 49.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 512 | 36.5%187 W · 325 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Fritz | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Fritz | 65c | 41.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcb…9f08backed Bublik | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 35.9%74 W · 132 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Bublik | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Fritz | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…5792backed Fritz | 59c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bublik | 38c | 26.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fritz | 63c | 24.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Fritz | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Fritz | 59c | 19.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Fritz vs Bublikthis page
- Fritz vs. Bublik: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Fritz vs. Bublik: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 2 Winner: Fritz vs BublikFritz won
- Set 3 Winner: Fritz vs BublikFritz won
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Fritz (+1.5)Fritz won
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-2.5) vs Fritz (+2.5)Fritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)Fritz won
- Set Handicap: Fritz (-2.5) vs Bublik (+2.5)Fritz won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Taylor Fritz vs. Alexander Bublik: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander BublikTaylor Fritz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.