MLB · resolved market
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41473424b15ba3f7b6afdf9be34d31da882ce3f55f2af6f6cee7e85e81600e31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Metsof Miami Marlins, New York Mets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $646,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $639,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $646,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 406,192$189,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189,848.37 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed New York Mets | 53c | 264,433$140,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124,283.68 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked New York Mets | 54c | 90,000$48,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,400 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miami Marlins | 30c | 35,588$10,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,847.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Mets | 56c | 31,330$17,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,793.7 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 48c | 20,863$9,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,980.12 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 20,088$9,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,240.41 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked New York Mets | 60c | 19,277$11,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,765.08 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed New York Mets | 52c | 15,447$8,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,414.33 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed New York Mets | 55c | 13,301$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,985.41 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 11,557$5,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed New York Mets | 53c | 10,500$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked New York Mets | 54c | 10,025$5,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,611.44 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e6…1dc1backed New York Mets | 55c | 8,800$4,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Miami Marlins | 34c | 7,531$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.27 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Miami Marlins | 41c | 6,484$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.01 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Miami Marlins | 8c | 6,011$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.38 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 5,982$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.09 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Marlins | 39c | 5,595$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Miami Marlins | 0c | 5,468$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed New York Mets | 60c | 4,819$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,927.71 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Mets | 53c | 4,623$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.29 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked New York Mets | 53c | 4,570$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.9 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed New York Mets | 54c | 3,900$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed New York Mets | 53c | 3,747$1,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Mets | 59c | 3,517$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Miami Marlins | 42c | 3,000$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New York Mets | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New York Mets | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked New York Mets | 55c | 2,426$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.5 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…2ff4backed New York Mets | 59c | 2,410$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.95 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4861…3aaebacked New York Mets | 60c | 2,410$1,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.86 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed New York Mets | 54c | 2,377$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.1 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 2,013$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.97 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed New York Mets | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed New York Mets | 55c | 1,909$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.09 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,887$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.85 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,850$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.44 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed New York Mets | 72c | 1,560$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.7 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New York Mets | 62c | 1,536$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.22 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.92 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,371$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.66 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed New York Mets | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.3 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,276$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.96 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 1,000$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.38 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed New York Mets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked New York Mets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Miami Marlins | 40c | 874.91$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.02 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Miami Marlins | 44c | 850$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Mets | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Miami Marlins | 28c | 779.4$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.7 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed New York Mets | 72c | 657.7$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.25 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 624$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.8 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914a…920fbacked New York Mets | 55c | 609.09$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.09 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked New York Mets | 54c | 600$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed New York Mets | 54c | 599.99$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 594.1$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.35 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Mets | 72c | 560.55$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.88 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d1…8d0ebacked New York Mets | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Miami Marlins | 47c | 532.72$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 531.91$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.68 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked New York Mets | 54c | 518.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.52 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed New York Mets | 54c | 511.11$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.11 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked New York Mets | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Miami Marlins | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked New York Mets | 55c | 475.22$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked New York Mets | 56c | 462.77$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.77 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…443bbacked Miami Marlins | 3c | 442.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 3cpaid | +660.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 415.81$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.43 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 403$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.38 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9783…dccabacked New York Mets | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked New York Mets | 60c | 395$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 31c | 373.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked New York Mets | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 369.99$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed New York Mets | 54c | 363.63$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.27 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 299.1$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed New York Mets | 70c | 270$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f9…646dbacked New York Mets | 74c | 269.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked New York Mets | 56c | 269.09$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Miami Marlins | 36c | 268$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Miami Marlins | 43c | 265.53$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.97 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked New York Mets | 53c | 243.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.68 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9c…877fbacked New York Mets | 60c | 242.64$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c44…1168backed New York Mets | 56c | 239.96$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Miami Marlins | 46c | 217.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Miami Marlins | 19c | 214.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Miami Marlins | 29c | 213.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Miami Marlins | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 210.4$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.33 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 204.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Miami Marlins | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Miami Marlins | 45c | 199.92$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.97 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed New York Mets | 54c | 199.5$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.77 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 195.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.82 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Miami Marlins | 45c | 190$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Metsthis page
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 10.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5Under won
- Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-2.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-3.5)New York Mets won
- Spread: New York Mets (-4.5)New York Mets won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.