MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e6f0bdf391d82a3686a6976e6eeb6f5fd8f15a5cd989fbb132ae267ac90ac91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Cincinnati Reds, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $312,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 25,862$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,862.07 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c6…eeb6backed Cincinnati Reds | 9c | 25,738$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,329.89 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 21,323$9,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,003.33 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 18,983$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,749.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 12,833$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,518.33 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 9,777$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,301.97 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 9,350$4,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,357.4 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed St. Louis Cardinals | 68c | 9,073$6,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.63 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 66c | 8,257$5,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.02 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 7,288$3,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.92 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 7,167$4,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.91 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…41f3backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 6,354$2,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,784.55 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.1 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 6,000$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,609.97 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 5,955$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.44 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 5,107$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 4,840$2,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.81 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 4,419$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 4,364$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,923.6 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 3,728$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,488.24 | 400 | 43%172 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 3,460$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.8 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…4729backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 2,947$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 2,527$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.91 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x046f…0828backed St. Louis Cardinals | 56c | 2,499$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,203$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.46 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cincinnati Reds | 1c | 1,950$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 12c | 1,718$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.32 | 305 | 29.8%91 W · 214 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…cb00backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,600$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 35c | 1,552$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cincinnati Reds | 33c | 1,385$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.74 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 1,316$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.35 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 1,164$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.79 | 251 | 49.8%125 W · 126 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 60c | 1,061$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.48 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 1,028$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.78 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 968$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.24 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 910.63$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.95 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb99f…0106backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 900$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 899.31$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.7 | 377 | 48.8%184 W · 193 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 25c | 896.4$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.03 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 880$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 800$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 799.92$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.82 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 765.47$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.24 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 749.84$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.43 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 62c | 676.67$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.18 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 8c | 629$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 475 | 45.9%218 W · 257 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 628.21$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.35 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 621.61$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…42f3backed Cincinnati Reds | 37c | 608.81$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 575$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.25 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 563.58$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.43 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 535$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.05 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 527.45$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.71 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 522.61$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.72 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 520$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.8 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed St. Louis Cardinals | 65c | 505$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.66 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…fdc0backed Cincinnati Reds | 14c | 469.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 292 | 41.4%121 W · 171 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 73c | 468.43$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 462.25$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cincinnati Reds | 4c | 452.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 449.98$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.49 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 128 | 52.3%67 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 420$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 415.27$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.07 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 353.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.25 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x886f…aa8fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 350$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ed…33bebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.4wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 322.41$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 322.23$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.84 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 290$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1884…b7a5backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 272.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 577 | 58.6%338 W · 239 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 270$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.1 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 250$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffef…dabfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 245$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 240$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 59c | 240$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 239.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 58c | 235.55$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.93 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 230.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e2…ec75backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 227.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds | 28c | 221.15$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 220$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Cincinnati Reds | 42c | 220$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 220$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 220$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eac…9b93backed Cincinnati Reds | 23c | 213.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 211$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 391 | 51.9%203 W · 188 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 206.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinalsthis page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.