MLB · resolved market
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf3bbf935b50f0da65b3356ea3a946a820f32a0ba36c91f8d7707e766a56db98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 53c | 28,453$15,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,372.86 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 14,381$6,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,759 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 8,419$2,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.59 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 7,335$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,265.76 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 57c | 7,126$4,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,073.02 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 50c | 6,000$2,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,990.57 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 3,480$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,642.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 3,244$1,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.77 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 41c | 2,805$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.88 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 2,511$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 52c | 2,099$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.47 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 59c | 1,868$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.22 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 40c | 1,535$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.11 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 43c | 1,373$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.62 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 45c | 1,287$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.09 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 1,167$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.04 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 39c | 863.26$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.9 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 48c | 728.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.92 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 53c | 496$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 55c | 489.98$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.74 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 52c | 458.53$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.78 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 432.53$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.9 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Under | 52c | 419.98$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.59 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 77c | 384.61$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.56 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 42c | 354.61$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 45c | 319.87$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.94 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 76c | 266.76$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Over | 32c | 247.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 240$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.8 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 24c | 218.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 189.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.13 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 8c | 173$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 56c | 161.29$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.32 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 34c | 149.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 39c | 136.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 33c | 131.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 47c | 131.09$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked Over | 41c | 121$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 79c | 113.57$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb17…0cd7backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 77c | 101.66$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Over | 42c | 99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 62c | 94.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 57c | 89.39$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb79f…88e8backed Under | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Over | 39c | 82.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 55c | 76.55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Over | 32c | 74.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…1cb8backed Over | 21c | 67.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 78c | 63.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…9528backed Under | 48c | 50.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 35c | 49.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Over | 46c | 47.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 48c | 43.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 597 | 49.9%298 W · 299 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6123…8b33backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 32c | 41.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 49c | 39.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Over | 32c | 33.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Over | 43c | 26.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 61c | 25.82$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Over | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…e409backed Over | 58c | 22.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 58c | 22.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 76c | 22.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.34 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fa…9611backed Over | 48c | 20.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5894…c28ebacked Under | 67c | 20.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…822dbacked Under | 76c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 9.5this page
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-2.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.