MLB · resolved market
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x179ba3e4fe5aa885bc11e1d59657c293d5e0269f7277fc22b3462b517d17160c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,597,167
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,663,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,597,167 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 629 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 502,698$239,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239,268.08 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 182,682$98,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84,348.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 172,756$79,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,510.94 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 150,000$78,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,000 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -14.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 143,878$75,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,931.64 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 100,000$53,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,819.97 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 85,142$40,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,016.79 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 78,006$36,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,689.68 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 73,000$39,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,580 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 48,399$29,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,480.69 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 38,774$20,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,223.64 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 34,839$18,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,129.14 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Atlanta Braves | 60c | 34,449$20,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,730.59 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 32,065$14,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,154.69 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 30,086$15,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,286.22 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 28,744$13,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,590.41 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 24,830$13,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,670.19 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 70c | 22,506$15,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,790.2 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 20,902$10,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,966.99 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 18,888$8,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,877.36 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 17,853$9,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,391.65 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 15,694$8,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,013.46 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 13,491$7,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307.15 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 13,409$7,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,007.11 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 13,224$6,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,297.34 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…232fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 12,900$6,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,113 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 11,319$5,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320.04 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 11,178$6,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,268.03 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 10,628$5,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,101.55 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 10,062$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,563.6 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Atlanta Braves | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.96 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 9,245$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,345.28 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 57c | 7,929$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.69 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Cincinnati Reds | 30c | 7,660$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.16 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 43c | 7,257$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.35 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…a420backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 6,667$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 6,654$3,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,960.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 6,500$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.97 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 6,400$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,008 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 6,252$2,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864.55 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 6,158$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.26 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.96 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 5,531$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 5,520$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.25 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 5,332$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.23 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 5,198$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.49 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 4,779$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.41 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 4,220$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.8 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 4,095$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.65 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 4,078$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.76 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.99 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 3,952$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 3,812$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.09 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Cincinnati Reds | 66c | 3,800$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490.8 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 3,799$2,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.49 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 3,651$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.65 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 3,600$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 3,557$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 3,532$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.16 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 3,500$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.02 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 3,400$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 3,285$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.08 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Atlanta Braves | 55c | 3,168$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.63 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 2,880$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.24 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Atlanta Braves | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.19 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 2,790$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.04 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.27 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 2,642$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.51 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 2,615$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.15 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked Atlanta Braves | 57c | 2,495$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.58 | 174 | 60.9%106 W · 68 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 2,400$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.95 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,289$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.67 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 2,266$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.67 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Cincinnati Reds | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.89 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,122$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.89 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…5c1bbacked Atlanta Braves | 55c | 2,110$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.56 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 2,097$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.04 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 2,021$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.44 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Atlanta Braves | 59c | 1,997$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.57 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 1,887$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.67 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 1,792$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.21 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 26c | 1,716$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.31 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…53f0backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,651$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Cincinnati Reds | 44c | 1,640$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.57 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Braves | 59c | 1,601$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Atlanta Braves | 51c | 1,586$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.25 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Braves | 52c | 1,560$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.96 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Atlanta Braves | 53c | 1,528$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.16 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,514$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.36 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Atlanta Braves | 56c | 1,499$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.57 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cincinnati Reds | 46c | 1,378$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.08 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds | 38c | 1,378$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.48 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…9666backed Atlanta Braves | 54c | 1,375$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.