MLB · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xece760d6edef05b73dab2f1a82c2d0aeedd74c6a5d017e03fb2888c38e9309f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Atlanta Braves, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $240,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,549
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $240,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 106,866$45,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,898.39 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 103,609$59,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,057.06 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 17,436$7,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,938.46 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 15,000$8,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,442.21 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 12,542$6,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,954.48 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 10,751$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,751.24 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 7,179$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,141.43 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 6,175$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.23 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 3,104$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.24 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 3,034$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.67 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 2,820$1,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,581.03 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,910$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Cincinnati Reds | 59c | 1,670$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.45 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…2f33backed Atlanta Braves | 45c | 1,659$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.02 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -7.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 1,620$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.6 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 1,500$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…dd8cbacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 1,453$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Cincinnati Reds | 60c | 1,420$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.57 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 1,283$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…83dabacked Atlanta Braves | 43c | 1,266$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.86 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Braves | 60c | 1,190$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.15 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 1,170$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.9 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 39c | 1,064$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.8 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 1,023$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.07 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcab0…0d18backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe66…dc96backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 873.1$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.67 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Atlanta Braves | 52c | 853$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.7 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves | 48c | 719.34$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Atlanta Braves | 34c | 700$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.52 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 578.74$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.09 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds | 48c | 574$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.06 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 568.04$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.9 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 529.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.89 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 430.04$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.72 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 362.86$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.45 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 348.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.83 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 336$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.8 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 313$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.41 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 300$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 298.29$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 175.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 160.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 143.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.55 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3599…5338backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 143.1$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves | 45c | 131.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.23 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Atlanta Braves | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.35 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f0…285fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 123.72$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.76 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -9.7wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 120$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.2 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked Atlanta Braves | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…ca73backed Cincinnati Reds | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe05…c67cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Atlanta Braves | 33c | 81.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Atlanta Braves | 42c | 78.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.63 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 69.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked Atlanta Braves | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Cincinnati Reds | 40c | 61.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 1,013 | 50.3%510 W · 503 L | +51.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed Atlanta Braves | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Atlanta Braves | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed Cincinnati Reds | 62c | 47.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 47.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Atlanta Braves | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Cincinnati Reds | 56c | 44.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Cincinnati Reds | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 997 | 44.1%440 W · 557 L | -38.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…0afabacked Atlanta Braves | 47c | 40.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 459 | 52.9%243 W · 216 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 39.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Cincinnati Reds | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 47c | 36.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a48…7bbebacked Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Atlanta Braves | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked Cincinnati Reds | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…0172backed Atlanta Braves | 40c | 30.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Atlanta Braves | 40c | 30.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Atlanta Braves | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8263…e0f1backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 26.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 347 | 54.8%190 W · 157 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Atlanta Braves | 49c | 26.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Cincinnati Reds | 58c | 25.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.03 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Atlanta Braves | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Cincinnati Reds | 55c | 21.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 20.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cincinnati Reds | 54c | 20.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)this page
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsAtlanta Braves won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 12.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5Over won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Under won
- Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati RedsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.