MLB · resolved market
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb91bcf97aed2a45f079de5a8683035e8505562523bc2b643518175ee11fb7bed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Miami Marlinsof Arizona Diamondbacks, Miami Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,814,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,860,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,814,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 651 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 350,000$154,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153,999.85 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 317,300$177,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,611.95 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 181,991$79,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,964.45 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 156,000$87,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,639.98 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 116,279$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 109,510$61,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,650.02 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 100,000$57,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,000 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 70,931$31,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,209.82 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 44,643$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,642.86 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 30,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,899.98 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 29,769$16,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,201.44 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 27,162$11,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,250 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 34c | 24,862$8,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,359.33 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 20,930$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Miami Marlins | 64c | 20,822$13,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,394.72 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…52dcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 18,297$7,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,996.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 16,554$4,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.83 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 16,487$9,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,307.45 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 12,839$7,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,518.34 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 12,800$7,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,503.97 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 12,281$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280.7 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5762…90eebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 11,521$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 11,494$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.23 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 10,164$5,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.6 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ec…9015backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.92 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 8,837$3,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,800 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 32c | 8,165$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.56 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 7,777$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.54 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 6,799$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,091.84 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 39c | 6,541$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.45 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6285…3f5abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 33c | 6,421$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.9 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -70%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 6,413$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.19 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 23c | 6,283$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.2 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 5,500$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 5,305$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.84 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced2…d98abacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,549.98 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 42c | 4,862$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.15 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 4,587$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.3 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 4,444$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 4,414$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.18 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 51c | 4,100$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 47c | 4,010$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,868.85 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.43 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…7d17backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 3,400$1,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 3,224$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.59 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 3,182$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.9 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 41c | 3,115$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.96 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 3,103$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.3 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 31c | 3,074$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.82 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 28c | 3,011$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce7c…6007backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 3,006$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.61 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.05 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0075…5f10backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.91 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…3246backed Miami Marlins | 60c | 2,700$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 2,525$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,085.75 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,344$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.34 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,270$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.4 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,232$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.57 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked Miami Marlins | 55c | 2,230$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.33 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,222$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.46 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,211$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.07 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 2,190$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.51 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 29c | 2,186$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.26 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,153$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.71 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 2,111$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.23 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a7…3bb2backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 2,036$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.71 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Miami Marlins | 67c | 1,920$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.76 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadda…9e4fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 1,920$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.19 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,900$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.03 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 1,867$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.46 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…2095backed Miami Marlins | 55c | 1,800$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…fe20backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,750$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.75 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab0…7147backed Miami Marlins | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 19c | 1,709$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.85 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 22c | 1,665$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.27 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 13c | 1,662$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.32 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Miami Marlins | 51c | 1,530$785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.07 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 27c | 1,482$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.77 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c98fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks | 15c | 1,356$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.39 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Miami Marlins | 57c | 1,310$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.3 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Arizona Diamondbacks | 43c | 1,279$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…3f29backed Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,273$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.95 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Miami Marlins | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsthis page
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 11.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-2.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5)Miami Marlins won
- Spread: Miami Marlins (-4.5)Arizona Diamondbacks won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami MarlinsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.