MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2aca3e47d21f7a89c713a1bc36d243013f9fb508df2d8097f9433be237ef9245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Kansas City Royals, Texas Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $585,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $587,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $585,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 163,265$79,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,839.38 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 35,771$18,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,527.69 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Kansas City Royals | 2c | 30,557$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.49 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -30%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 20,945$10,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,053.64 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 20,408$9,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,989.04 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,600 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c6…ba58backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 19,231$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,230.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 18,912$9,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,186.65 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 17,993$9,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,816.38 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 56c | 17,170$9,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,631.6 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 17,058$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,358.46 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 16,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 15,249$7,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,319.5 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 15,064$7,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,805.74 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kansas City Royals | 27c | 13,488$3,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,609.97 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Kansas City Royals | 54c | 11,115$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Texas Rangers | 68c | 10,014$6,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,213.96 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kansas City Royals | 14c | 9,850$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.49 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 9,803$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,803.47 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 9,000$4,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,410 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 8,500$4,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,104.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 7,607$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,902.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 6,407$3,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075.44 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Texas Rangers | 63c | 6,360$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Texas Rangers | 53c | 5,854$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,751.34 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 4,142$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,993.32 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff92…0e6fbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 3,547$1,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 3,463$1,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c3…26abbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 3,443$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…2ebfbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 3,422$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.69 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals | 37c | 3,353$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 3,222$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,578.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9830…20f7backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 3,209$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Kansas City Royals | 15c | 3,104$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.28 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 2,984$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250.44 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ab…8cefbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,927$1,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,434.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c9…0733backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,711$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.39 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5406…20b0backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,707$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…0149backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,577$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.73 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,509$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.98 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532d…0553backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,502$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.98 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 22c | 2,405$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7566…a420backed Kansas City Royals | 74c | 2,263$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 2,235$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,073.71 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Texas Rangers | 58c | 2,226$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.17 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 41c | 2,127$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.19 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ae…2c38backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,104$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.96 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 2,102$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.25 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…859bbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,083$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa252…dbf4backed Texas Rangers | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Kansas City Royals | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.97 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 1,852$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0b…dcd1backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,847$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.03 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…b16ebacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,843$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.88 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3964…14f0backed Texas Rangers | 76c | 1,787$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…5c1bbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.85 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,700$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,607$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.38 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…645abacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,558$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…e262backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,520$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e3…3337backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 432 | 53.9%233 W · 199 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d4…6e45backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,433$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2f…3709backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,376$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.24 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35a…ce87backed Kansas City Royals | 7c | 1,357$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…65cebacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,316$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers | 54c | 1,311$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.07 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…6cafbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,244$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 1,219$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.65 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,168$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.29 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,097$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.78 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,078$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.43 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d601backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,069$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.78 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Texas Rangers | 64c | 1,005$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.93 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.05 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 999.99$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.6 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 999.81$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.91 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Kansas City Royals | 72c | 972.22$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Texas Rangers | 57c | 963.1$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.1 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Texas Rangers | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Texas Rangers | 7c | 950.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.83 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Texas Rangers | 53c | 945$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.15 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 933.54$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.71 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 903.25$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.83 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 841$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.68 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Kansas City Royals | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kansas City Royals | 75c | 828.69$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.17 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Kansas City Royals | 29c | 803.52$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.05 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 800.73$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.03 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…2f15backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 759.98$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.99 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangersthis page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.