MLB · resolved market
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61f1bb00801d8fbcfe76354ac54c396e6bd0e09142c8fdb62522d8546b5d9dff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kansas City Royalsof Texas Rangers, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 21,221$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked Texas Rangers | 36c | 13,915$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 8,445$5,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.96 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 5,500$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 2,300$1,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.8 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 2,192$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.3 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 1,751$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.21 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 1,580$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.8 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 1,271$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.85 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 1,150$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 1,121$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.48 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 1,100$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 1,078$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.29 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Kansas City Royals | 55c | 1,038$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.2 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…f403backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 998.77$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.37 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 760.06$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.17 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 657.87$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.63 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…0841backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 639.86$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 588.22$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.23 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 438$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.11 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 342.86$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 282$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.7 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 251.54$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 244.88$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 149$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.01 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e4…53bbbacked Texas Rangers | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 128$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.27 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 108.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Kansas City Royals | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Texas Rangers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 98.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Rangers | 80c | 65.96$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd1…344fbacked Texas Rangers | 39c | 64.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 49c | 59.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 33c | 58.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 40.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Kansas City Royals | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Texas Rangers | 35c | 36.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 30.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Texas Rangers | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 28.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Kansas City Royals | 65c | 24.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 247 | 42.9%106 W · 141 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Kansas City Royals | 70c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.87 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.