MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cfa6389de55e18fef1f7bfa5bac53a0308e3eca40f7c996289ba5247b6c1dba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $187,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $187,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb91a…3987backed Over | 53c | 94,339$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,339.32 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Under | 47c | 57,573$27,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,059.36 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 54c | 56,444$30,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,964.23 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 47c | 40,000$18,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,800 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 46c | 18,790$8,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,643.49 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 11,123$5,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,137.79 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 8,338$3,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,852.75 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Over | 53c | 5,900$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,773 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 46c | 5,843$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,688 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 46c | 4,891$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 47c | 4,885$2,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.28 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 53c | 4,650$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.34 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 46c | 3,937$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.15 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 46c | 3,840$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.9 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…6e97backed Under | 47c | 2,091$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 241 | 50.6%122 W · 119 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 53c | 1,907$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 1,800$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 46c | 1,555$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.3 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 47c | 1,425$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.56 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Over | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.92 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 53c | 1,000$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.26 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Over | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 46c | 749.89$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 48c | 489.15$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.62 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 54c | 467.12$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.88 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 466.42$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.15 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under | 47c | 456.1$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 450.47$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.65 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 444.08$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.97 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 419$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.93 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 390.87$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 292$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 47c | 280.61$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 321 | 66.4%213 W · 108 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a12…cba0backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Under | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Over | 53c | 213$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…6b56backed Under | 47c | 213$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Over | 49c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.04 | 268 | 60.4%162 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 200$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Under | 56c | 200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 48c | 186.31$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 151 | 59.6%90 W · 61 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…a836backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Over | 54c | 129.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…51eebacked Under | 79c | 125.39$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1631…072dbacked Over | 50c | 114.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 773 | 53.9%417 W · 356 L | +35.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 46c | 113.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 46c | 108$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 96.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Under | 53c | 94.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb21…3138backed Over | 54c | 93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 17c | 82.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.07 | 430 | 43%185 W · 245 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 57c | 73.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 71.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Over | 54c | 69.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Under | 49c | 65.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92fe…f901backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 63.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Under | 46c | 62.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38e…102cbacked Over | 54c | 61.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2650…dd6abacked Under | 48c | 56.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 33c | 47.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe604…dc02backed Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 53c | 46.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcadd…c7e6backed Over | 50c | 45.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 67c | 43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e94…776bbacked Under | 47c | 37.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 46c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 53c | 35.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 2,944 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L | +4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a49…0670backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 49c | 30.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…4a48backed Under | 47c | 29.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Under | 77c | 25.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -15.4wins | -0.25per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5822…8774backed Under | 77c | 25.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Over | 54c | 25.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 54c | 24.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 53c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 21.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 65c | 19.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Over | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…bd3bbacked Over | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)Texas Rangers won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-2.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Texas RangersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.