TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb91a…3987backed Over53c94,339$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,339.3213561.5%83 W · 52 L+15.2wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x5b4e…0232backed Under47c57,573$27,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,059.363138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over54c56,444$30,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,964.231,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under47c40,000$18,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,80028350.9%144 W · 139 L-0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under46c18,790$8,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,643.4932152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under46c11,123$5,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,137.7911,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under46c8,338$3,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,852.753,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed Over53c5,900$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7738943.8%39 W · 50 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under46c5,843$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6884047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over53c5,000$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3501,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under46c4,891$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25030647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under47c4,885$2,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,272.284,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Over53c4,650$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.3417248.8%84 W · 88 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under46c3,937$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.1511656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c3,840$1,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,775.94,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Under47c2,128$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00089153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc181…6e97backed Under47c2,091$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9832969%20 W · 9 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+33.6%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Under46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92055052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94024150.6%122 W · 119 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over53c1,907$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.492,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over53c1,800$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84686653%459 W · 407 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under46c1,555$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.31,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Under47c1,425$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.567851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over54c1,200$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.9228154.4%153 W · 128 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Over53c1,000$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.2689053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05b9…2adfbacked Over53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.43036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under46c749.89$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.138,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over54c700$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32285952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under48c489.15$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.623,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Over54c467.12$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.881,20558.8%708 W · 497 L+31.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under55c466.42$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.1512,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under47c456.1$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.988943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over29c450.47$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.658,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c444.08$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.972,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c419$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.931,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under46c390.87$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.769,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c292$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.322,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over47c280.61$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.722,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under76c263.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032166.4%213 W · 108 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a12…cba0backed Under46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Under47c215$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0522849.1%112 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4559…1c26backed Over53c213$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.112045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b6b…6b56backed Under47c213$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.112937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed Over49c200$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0426860.4%162 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c200$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.56,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523c…2c05backed Under56c200$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11113053.1%69 W · 61 L-11.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over54c194.44$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.441,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Over52c190$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.75,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked Under48c186.31$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4312049.2%59 W · 61 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3f…1365backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1915159.6%90 W · 61 L+10.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1184…a836backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…efddbacked Over54c129.63$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.637846.2%36 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…51eebacked Under79c125.39$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.01933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.4wins-0.37per pick71cpaid-50.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1631…072dbacked Over50c114.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.7677353.9%417 W · 356 L+35.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Under46c113.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.031,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Under46c108$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.681,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Under57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c96.19$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under47c96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9878155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under53c94.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020350.2%102 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb21…3138backed Over54c93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.786947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Over17c82.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0743043%185 W · 245 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under57c73.22$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.968,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over45c71.76$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.476,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over54c69.9$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.31,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976f…8a71backed Under49c65.08$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.891533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x92fe…f901backed Over54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.815461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c63.81$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under46c62.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8314057.9%81 W · 59 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38e…102cbacked Over54c61.11$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.11560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2650…dd6abacked Under48c56.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Over53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3355643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51,49845.3%678 W · 820 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over33c47.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.791,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe604…dc02backed Over54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.31526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-48.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Over53c46.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6330048%144 W · 156 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcadd…c7e6backed Over50c45.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.654139%16 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over46c44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.762,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under67c43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8157046.8%267 W · 303 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Under47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.982741.1%340 W · 487 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e94…776bbacked Under47c37.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5118444.6%82 W · 102 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Under46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5624749%121 W · 126 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Over53c35.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.662,94447.6%1,401 W · 1,543 L+4.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a49…0670backed Under47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Under49c30.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.716,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1f…4a48backed Under47c29.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7713056.2%73 W · 57 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x45e1…5934backed Under77c25.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.836248.4%30 W · 32 L-15.4wins-0.25per pick73cpaid-33.7%equal weight30-0.18 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Under77c25.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.837569.3%52 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacee…afddbacked Over54c25.56$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7621751.6%112 W · 105 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Over54c24.65$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.3438352.2%200 W · 183 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under47c23.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Over53c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.811,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over54c21.78$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0270455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.332,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e2f…f9babacked Under65c19.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0272655.4%402 W · 324 L+40.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Over54c18.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.610759.8%64 W · 43 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3b…bd3bbacked Over54c18.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.521450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.