Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Zheng (+2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb47be96f289e9664c90782f40ff225f0f124dd08e9dab7dfb7e3bc1624e2c2e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Zheng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zheng | 56c | 834.49$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.6 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zheng | 22c | 710.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.98 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 584.18$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Auger-Aliassime | 45c | 260$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 237.6$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 583 | 59.2%345 W · 238 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Auger-Aliassime | 49c | 234.86$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Zheng | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Auger-Aliassime | 40c | 183.49$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Zheng | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Zheng | 38c | 147.43$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.02 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x776f…32b7backed Auger-Aliassime | 52c | 122.29$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.29 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 72c | 114.47$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Zheng | 54c | 114.24$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Zheng | 51c | 96.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Zheng | 53c | 94.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 44c | 65.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 133 | 34.6%46 W · 87 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 55.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Zheng | 50c | 53.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Zheng | 57c | 53.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…5bdbbacked Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 49.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cf…6b0bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 46.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Auger-Aliassime | 41c | 44.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 377 | 38.2%144 W · 233 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Zheng | 59c | 44.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zheng | 57c | 39.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6c53backed Auger-Aliassime | 72c | 33.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Zheng | 57c | 32.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadde…ec24backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 31.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Zheng | 56c | 26.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Auger-Aliassime | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Zheng | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Zheng (+2.5)this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Zheng: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Michael Zheng: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs ZhengAuger-Aliassime won
- Set 2 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs ZhengAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Michael ZhengFelix Auger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.