Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58f47c7383d83d080e9835641c6eccc31764aa6115b5d16545049c460263b01f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Zheng
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 14,453$10,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,801.16 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Zheng | 26c | 10,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Auger-Aliassime | 73c | 5,455$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.72 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Auger-Aliassime | 72c | 3,475$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.93 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Zheng | 28c | 3,268$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.53 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Zheng | 27c | 2,920$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.4 | 384 | 46.4%178 W · 206 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Zheng | 27c | 2,778$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 488 | 42%205 W · 283 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Zheng | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Zheng | 26c | 1,105$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.42 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 897.51$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.23 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zheng | 28c | 834.14$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.16 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 651.72$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.53 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Zheng | 31c | 599.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3bd…6dddbacked Zheng | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Zheng | 31c | 499.77$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.93 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Zheng | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Zheng | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 14.5%9 W · 53 L | -11.2wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Zheng | 31c | 220.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.36 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Auger-Aliassime | 73c | 209.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Zheng | 30c | 156.43$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…f09ebacked Zheng | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Auger-Aliassime | 68c | 155$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7c…596cbacked Auger-Aliassime | 70c | 145$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Zheng | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 557 | 48.8%272 W · 285 L | +23.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Zheng | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Zheng | 27c | 114.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Auger-Aliassime | 73c | 114.56$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Zheng | 31c | 102.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 109 | 65.1%71 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…061abacked Auger-Aliassime | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Zheng | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zheng | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x341d…2995backed Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 38.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 311 | 61.1%190 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Zheng (+1.5)this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Zheng: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Michael Zheng: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs ZhengAuger-Aliassime won
- Set 2 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs ZhengAuger-Aliassime won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Zheng (+2.5)Auger-Aliassime won
- Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Michael ZhengFelix Auger-Aliassime won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.